Trader consensus heavily favors Shin Yong-han at 78% implied probability to win the June 3 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election, driven by his frontrunner status in the Democratic Party of Korea's ongoing primary runoff against Noh Yeong-min, with voting concluding April 4. Shin's edge stems from topping the initial primary round on March 27 and strong party support amid a 7.4 percentage point drop in People Power Party approval in the Chungcheong region. PPP disarray intensified April 2 when the party restarted its governor primary from scratch after a court suspended incumbent Kim Young-hwan's nomination cut-off, boosting DPK prospects; eliminated DPK contender Song Ki-sub trails at 10.5%. No recent general election polls available, but PPP turmoil underscores Shin's path to victory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador da província de Chungcheongbuk
Vencedor da eleição para governador da província de Chungcheongbuk
Shin Yong-han 78%
Noh Yeong-min 11%
Song Ki-sub 10.1%
Cho Gil-hyeong 3.5%
$16,492 Vol.
$16,492 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
78%
Noh Yeong-min
11%
Song Ki-sub
10%
Cho Gil-hyeong
3%
Kim Young-hwan
3%
Lee Jong-bae
2%
Yoon Hee-geun
1%
Do Jong-hwan
1%
Shin Yong-han 78%
Noh Yeong-min 11%
Song Ki-sub 10.1%
Cho Gil-hyeong 3.5%
$16,492 Vol.
$16,492 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
78%
Noh Yeong-min
11%
Song Ki-sub
10%
Cho Gil-hyeong
3%
Kim Young-hwan
3%
Lee Jong-bae
2%
Yoon Hee-geun
1%
Do Jong-hwan
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercado Aberto: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Shin Yong-han at 78% implied probability to win the June 3 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election, driven by his frontrunner status in the Democratic Party of Korea's ongoing primary runoff against Noh Yeong-min, with voting concluding April 4. Shin's edge stems from topping the initial primary round on March 27 and strong party support amid a 7.4 percentage point drop in People Power Party approval in the Chungcheong region. PPP disarray intensified April 2 when the party restarted its governor primary from scratch after a court suspended incumbent Kim Young-hwan's nomination cut-off, boosting DPK prospects; eliminated DPK contender Song Ki-sub trails at 10.5%. No recent general election polls available, but PPP turmoil underscores Shin's path to victory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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