South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's commanding 91.7% "No" odds reflect his constitutional immunity from arrest while in office, bolstered by the Democratic Party's National Assembly majority actively seeking withdrawal of indictments in his major cases, including the Ssangbangwool North Korea remittance scandal and election law violations. Over the past week, the DP released audio recordings alleging prosecutor Park Sang-yong coerced a witness to falsely implicate Lee as the main culprit, prompting a special counsel handover and portraying prior indictments as politically motivated under the previous Yoon administration. With trials stalled or postponed and no recent warrants issued, traders see formidable institutional barriers to arrest before 2027, though opposition People Power Party criticism and special counsel outcomes could introduce uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoLee Jae-myung preso antes de 2027?
Lee Jae-myung preso antes de 2027?
Sim
$38,345 Vol.
$38,345 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$38,345 Vol.
$38,345 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's commanding 91.7% "No" odds reflect his constitutional immunity from arrest while in office, bolstered by the Democratic Party's National Assembly majority actively seeking withdrawal of indictments in his major cases, including the Ssangbangwool North Korea remittance scandal and election law violations. Over the past week, the DP released audio recordings alleging prosecutor Park Sang-yong coerced a witness to falsely implicate Lee as the main culprit, prompting a special counsel handover and portraying prior indictments as politically motivated under the previous Yoon administration. With trials stalled or postponed and no recent warrants issued, traders see formidable institutional barriers to arrest before 2027, though opposition People Power Party criticism and special counsel outcomes could introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$38,345Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's commanding 91.7% "No" odds reflect his constitutional immunity from arrest while in office, bolstered by the Democratic Party's National Assembly majority actively seeking withdrawal of indictments in his major cases, including the Ssangbangwool North Korea remittance scandal and election law violations. Over the past week, the DP released audio recordings alleging prosecutor Park Sang-yong coerced a witness to falsely implicate Lee as the main culprit, prompting a special counsel handover and portraying prior indictments as politically motivated under the previous Yoon administration. With trials stalled or postponed and no recent warrants issued, traders see formidable institutional barriers to arrest before 2027, though opposition People Power Party criticism and special counsel outcomes could introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$38,345Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korean President Lee Jae-myung's commanding 91.7% "No" odds reflect his constitutional immunity from arrest while in office, bolstered by the Democratic Party's National Assembly majority actively seeking withdrawal of indictments in his major cases, including the Ssangbangwool North Korea remittance scandal and election law violations. Over the past week, the DP released audio recordings alleging prosecutor Park Sang-yong coerced a witness to falsely implicate Lee as the main culprit, prompting a special counsel handover and portraying prior indictments as politically motivated under the previous Yoon administration. With trials stalled or postponed and no recent warrants issued, traders see formidable institutional barriers to arrest before 2027, though opposition People Power Party criticism and special counsel outcomes could introduce uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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