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RelaçõEs Exteriores previsões e probabilidades

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Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

3%

May 31

$62.5K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

3

Ends há 17 dias

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

May 31

$145K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

10

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

17%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$43.1K Liq.

11

Ends em 8 meses

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

37%

8

$1M Vol.

$66.3K today

$118K Liq.

34

Ends em 8 meses

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

7%

$305K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

14%

June 30

$613K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

51%

Jared Kushner

$1M Vol.

$96.1K Liq.

69

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

12%

$5.3K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

47%

No Meeting by June 30

$6M Vol.

$360K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

39%

$29.0K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 meses

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

18%

$209K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

4%

$123K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

12

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$30.4K Liq.

34

Ends em 8 meses

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

6%

June 30

$593K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

38

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

6%

$147K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

21%

$158K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$237K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

15

Ends há 5 meses

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

28%

$15.2K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

41%

5

$7M Vol.

$339K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

53%

June 30

$37M Vol.

$273K today

$158K Liq.

6

Ends há 17 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for RelaçõEs Exteriores that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $58.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 53% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on RelaçõEs Exteriores predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.