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AgêNcia De ProteçãO Ambiental previsões e probabilidades

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Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$20.0K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

30%

$22.8K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

82%

$21.4K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

38%

Tulsi Gabbard

$11.7K Vol.

$37.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

32%

2

$2.9K Vol.

$29.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

SCOTUS rules in favor of Monsanto?

SCOTUS rules in favor of Monsanto?

87%

$207 Vol.

$17 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Weed rescheduled by...?

Weed rescheduled by...?

24%

December 31

$759K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

11%

$17.6K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

9

Ends em 8 meses

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

2%

June 30

$64.2K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.4K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

57%

$1.4K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

100%

May 15

$2M Vol.

$2M today

$3M Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

13%

Oil Sanction Relief

$2M Vol.

$134K today

$306K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (May 17 - May 23)

65%

0

$288 Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

13%

December 31

$40M Vol.

$350K today

$1M Liq.

1,267

Ends em 8 meses

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

81%

1250+

$72.2K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

13%

May 31

$13.4K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

How many Tornadoes in the US in May?

How many Tornadoes in the US in May?

45%

<200

$235 Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

7%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

54

Ends em 8 meses

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

11%

$27.6K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

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Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 13% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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