Market icon
Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin

Market icon
Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin

Tom Tiffany 89%

Tommy Thompson 6.6%

Andy Manske 1.3%

Rebecca Kleefisch 1.1%

Polymarket

$72,756 Vol.

Tom Tiffany 89%

Tommy Thompson 6.6%

Andy Manske 1.3%

Rebecca Kleefisch 1.1%

Polymarket

$72,756 Vol.

Tom Tiffany

$6,368 Vol.

89%

Tommy Thompson

$0 Vol.

7%

Andy Manske

$3,224 Vol.

1%

Rebecca Kleefisch

$4,632 Vol.

1%

Josh Schoemann

$3,674 Vol.

1%

Tim Michels

$2,910 Vol.

1%

Eric Hovde

$15,737 Vol.

1%

Sean Duffy

$36,213 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany leads Polymarket's Wisconsin Republican gubernatorial primary odds at 88.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing him at 40% support—far ahead of Andy Manske's 6% and others below 5%—with 54% undecided in a Marquette survey and similar results from The Center Square last week. His early September 2025 campaign launch, Trump endorsement in late January 2026 prompting rival Josh Schoemann's exit, and congressional incumbency bolster trader consensus amid a fragmented field featuring past candidates like Rebecca Kleefisch, Tim Michels, and Eric Hovde. Former Gov. Tommy Thompson's 6.5% reflects lingering speculation without a formal entry. The August primary looms, with late entrants or shifts in undecideds as key risks.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$72,756
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany leads Polymarket's Wisconsin Republican gubernatorial primary odds at 88.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing him at 40% support—far ahead of Andy Manske's 6% and others below 5%—with 54% undecided in a Marquette survey and similar results from The Center Square last week. His early September 2025 campaign launch, Trump endorsement in late January 2026 prompting rival Josh Schoemann's exit, and congressional incumbency bolster trader consensus amid a fragmented field featuring past candidates like Rebecca Kleefisch, Tim Michels, and Eric Hovde. Former Gov. Tommy Thompson's 6.5% reflects lingering speculation without a formal entry. The August primary looms, with late entrants or shifts in undecideds as key risks.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$72,756
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Tiffany" at 89%, followed by "Tommy Thompson" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin" has generated $72.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin" is "Tom Tiffany" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tommy Thompson" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.