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Política·Primárias

Quem avançará das primárias do Governador do Alasca?

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Quem avançará das primárias do Governador do Alasca?

$17,792 Vol.

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$17,792 Vol.

Polymarket

Tom Begich

$0 Vol.

80%

Bernadette Wilson

$13,748 Vol.

58%

Dave Bronson

$1,471 Vol.

55%

Treg Taylor

$0 Vol.

40%

Click Bishop

$0 Vol.

41%

Adam Crum

$0 Vol.

21%

Nancy Dahlstrom

$0 Vol.

18%

Hank Kroll

$0 Vol.

14%

Matt Heilala

$2,572 Vol.

13%

Matt Claman

$0 Vol.

11%

Edna DeVries

$0 Vol.

10%

Shelley Hughes

$0 Vol.

9%

James Parkin

$0 Vol.

5%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy leads recent polls for Alaska's August 20 nonpartisan top-four primary, where the highest four vote-getters advance to the general election using ranked-choice voting regardless of party affiliation. A mid-July Alaska Survey Research poll showed Dunleavy at 43%, former Gov. Bill Walker (independent) at 25%, Democrat Mary Sattler Peluy at 12%, and Republican Steve Wright at 6%, with undecideds around 10%. No major catalysts in the past week, but upcoming candidate forums and early voting starting August 7 could sway independents and moderates, key blocs in Alaska's open primary system. Incumbency and Dunleavy's fundraising edge underpin his frontrunner status historically.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volume
$17,792
Data de Término
Aug 18, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy leads recent polls for Alaska's August 20 nonpartisan top-four primary, where the highest four vote-getters advance to the general election using ranked-choice voting regardless of party affiliation. A mid-July Alaska Survey Research poll showed Dunleavy at 43%, former Gov. Bill Walker (independent) at 25%, Democrat Mary Sattler Peluy at 12%, and Republican Steve Wright at 6%, with undecideds around 10%. No major catalysts in the past week, but upcoming candidate forums and early voting starting August 7 could sway independents and moderates, key blocs in Alaska's open primary system. Incumbency and Dunleavy's fundraising edge underpin his frontrunner status historically.

Incumbent Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy leads recent polls for Alaska's August 20 nonpartisan top-four primary, where the highest four vote-getters advance to the general election using ranked-choice voting regardless of party affiliation. A mid-July Alaska Survey Research poll showed Dunleavy at 43%, former Gov. Bill Walker (independent) at 25%, Democrat Mary Sattler Peluy at 12%, and Republican Steve Wright at 6%, with undecideds around 10%. No major catalysts in the past week, but upcoming candidate forums and early voting starting August 7 could sway independents and moderates, key blocs in Alaska's open primary system. Incumbency and Dunleavy's fundraising edge underpin his frontrunner status historically.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem avançará das primárias do Governador do Alasca?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Begich" at 80%, followed by "Bernadette Wilson" at 58%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem avançará das primárias do Governador do Alasca?" has generated $17.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem avançará das primárias do Governador do Alasca?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem avançará das primárias do Governador do Alasca?" is "Tom Begich" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 58%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem avançará das primárias do Governador do Alasca?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.