Andy Biggs holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary due to recent polling averages showing him with double-digit leads over Rep. David Schweikert, solidified by Karrin Taylor Robson's February 12 dropout that cleared the field for the Trump- and Charlie Kirk-endorsed congressman. Biggs' strong Q1 fundraising and experience as former Arizona Senate President bolster trader consensus on his path to the July 21 nomination against minor candidates like Ken Miceli and Scott Neely. While his position appears secure, scenarios like a Schweikert surge via debates, Biggs scandal, or shifts in base turnout among Trump-aligned voters could narrow the race ahead of early voting in June.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAndy Biggs 93%
David Schweikert 3.4%
Karrin Taylor Robson 1.4%
$59,807 Vol.
$59,807 Vol.
Andy Biggs
93%
David Schweikert
3%
Karrin Taylor Robson
1%
Andy Biggs 93%
David Schweikert 3.4%
Karrin Taylor Robson 1.4%
$59,807 Vol.
$59,807 Vol.
Andy Biggs
93%
David Schweikert
3%
Karrin Taylor Robson
1%
If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Andy Biggs holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary due to recent polling averages showing him with double-digit leads over Rep. David Schweikert, solidified by Karrin Taylor Robson's February 12 dropout that cleared the field for the Trump- and Charlie Kirk-endorsed congressman. Biggs' strong Q1 fundraising and experience as former Arizona Senate President bolster trader consensus on his path to the July 21 nomination against minor candidates like Ken Miceli and Scott Neely. While his position appears secure, scenarios like a Schweikert surge via debates, Biggs scandal, or shifts in base turnout among Trump-aligned voters could narrow the race ahead of early voting in June.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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