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Geopolítica·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?

$177,379 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$177,379 Vol.

Polymarket
A Coreia do Norte reconhecerá Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Coreia do Norte

$14,898 Vol.

4%

Cuba reconhecerá Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Cuba

$16,250 Vol.

19%

A Arábia Saudita reconhecerá Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Arábia Saudita

$8,209 Vol.

11%

O Líbano reconhecerá Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Líbano

$29,729 Vol.

17%

O Afeganistão reconhecerá Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Afeganistão

$143 Vol.

4%

O Iraque reconhecerá Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Iraque

$441 Vol.

4%

O Paquistão reconhecerá Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Paquistão

$262 Vol.

6%

A Síria reconhecerá Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Síria

$8,844 Vol.

11%

Venezuela reconhecerá Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Venezuela

$84,990 Vol.

10%

A Tunísia reconhecerá Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Tunísia

$672 Vol.

3%

O Kuwait reconhecerá Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Kuwait

$1,264 Vol.

6%

O Catar reconhecerá Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Catar

$1,570 Vol.

7%

A Indonésia irá reconhecer Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Indonésia

$8,329 Vol.

5%

A Malásia reconhecerá Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Malásia

$575 Vol.

4%

Bangladesh reconhecerá Israel até 30 de junho? icon

Bangladesh

$1,202 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns low implied probabilities to new diplomatic recognitions of Israel by June 30, 2026, with Lebanon leading at 17%, followed by Saudi Arabia and Venezuela at 10% each, reflecting no formal recognitions among holdouts since the market launched November 20, 2025. Early optimism from U.S. announcements hinting at Abraham Accords expansions faded without follow-through, as key non-recognizers like Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, and Pakistan maintain conditions tied to Palestinian statehood amid lingering Gaza and Lebanon tensions. Recent Israeli moves, such as appointing an envoy to Somaliland last week—condemned by Arab states—highlight diplomatic outreach but yield no breakthroughs. Upcoming summits or U.S. mediation could shift odds, though entrenched opposition persists.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$177,379
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns low implied probabilities to new diplomatic recognitions of Israel by June 30, 2026, with Lebanon leading at 17%, followed by Saudi Arabia and Venezuela at 10% each, reflecting no formal recognitions among holdouts since the market launched November 20, 2025. Early optimism from U.S. announcements hinting at Abraham Accords expansions faded without follow-through, as key non-recognizers like Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, and Pakistan maintain conditions tied to Palestinian statehood amid lingering Gaza and Lebanon tensions. Recent Israeli moves, such as appointing an envoy to Somaliland last week—condemned by Arab states—highlight diplomatic outreach but yield no breakthroughs. Upcoming summits or U.S. mediation could shift odds, though entrenched opposition persists.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$177,379
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cuba" at 19%, followed by "Líbano" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" has generated $177.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" is "Cuba" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Líbano" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.