Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Khamenei" and "paid a big price" around 19% as the most likely phrases President Trump will utter from March 29 to April 5, reflecting recent escalations in U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz. Trump's Truth Social posts from March 23-27 warned of massive retaliation if Iran disrupts oil flows, followed by announcements of productive bilateral talks and a pause in planned strikes on Iranian energy sites until April 6. His March 27 remarks to farmers and at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative in Miami highlighted Middle East military reshaping and economic priorities, sustaining focus on adversaries like Iran's Supreme Leader. No major public events are scheduled amid a Mar-a-Lago weekend, but daily executive time and potential press gaggles could prompt updates, keeping Iran-related terms elevated while others like "ethanol" (11%) tie to farm policy.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$463,917 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
18%
Kaitlan Collins
3%
Eat our Lunch
7%
Ethanol
7%
Embargo
14%
Finish the Job
16%
Khamenei
11%
Chuck Norris
6%
$463,917 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$14,844 Vol.
18%
Kaitlan Collins
$3,974 Vol.
3%
Eat our Lunch
$1,215 Vol.
7%
Ethanol
$10,046 Vol.
7%
Embargo
$8,343 Vol.
14%
Finish the Job
$3,253 Vol.
16%
Khamenei
$51,555 Vol.
11%
Chuck Norris
$4,186 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Khamenei" and "paid a big price" around 19% as the most likely phrases President Trump will utter from March 29 to April 5, reflecting recent escalations in U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz. Trump's Truth Social posts from March 23-27 warned of massive retaliation if Iran disrupts oil flows, followed by announcements of productive bilateral talks and a pause in planned strikes on Iranian energy sites until April 6. His March 27 remarks to farmers and at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative in Miami highlighted Middle East military reshaping and economic priorities, sustaining focus on adversaries like Iran's Supreme Leader. No major public events are scheduled amid a Mar-a-Lago weekend, but daily executive time and potential press gaggles could prompt updates, keeping Iran-related terms elevated while others like "ethanol" (11%) tie to farm policy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$463,917Data de Término
Mar 29, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Khamenei" and "paid a big price" around 19% as the most likely phrases President Trump will utter from March 29 to April 5, reflecting recent escalations in U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz. Trump's Truth Social posts from March 23-27 warned of massive retaliation if Iran disrupts oil flows, followed by announcements of productive bilateral talks and a pause in planned strikes on Iranian energy sites until April 6. His March 27 remarks to farmers and at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative in Miami highlighted Middle East military reshaping and economic priorities, sustaining focus on adversaries like Iran's Supreme Leader. No major public events are scheduled amid a Mar-a-Lago weekend, but daily executive time and potential press gaggles could prompt updates, keeping Iran-related terms elevated while others like "ethanol" (11%) tie to farm policy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$463,917Data de Término
Mar 29, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Khamenei" and "paid a big price" around 19% as the most likely phrases President Trump will utter from March 29 to April 5, reflecting recent escalations in U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz. Trump's Truth Social posts from March 23-27 warned of massive retaliation if Iran disrupts oil flows, followed by announcements of productive bilateral talks and a pause in planned strikes on Iranian energy sites until April 6. His March 27 remarks to farmers and at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative in Miami highlighted Middle East military reshaping and economic priorities, sustaining focus on adversaries like Iran's Supreme Leader. No major public events are scheduled amid a Mar-a-Lago weekend, but daily executive time and potential press gaggles could prompt updates, keeping Iran-related terms elevated while others like "ethanol" (11%) tie to farm policy.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions