Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's pattern of frequent Truth Social posts and rally rhetoric addressing legal battles, election integrity, and economic policy, with odds favoring statements on his New York civil fraud case after the March 20 appeals court reduced his bond from $464 million to $175 million—a development his campaign hailed as a win. Recent posts criticized Judge Engoron's ruling and Biden's economy, sustaining momentum on those themes amid no major rallies scheduled for the March 18-24 week, though press gaggles outside hush money trial hearings could prompt comments. Upcoming Easter weekend limits events, but any spontaneous remarks on immigration or January 6 could shift probabilities, underscoring traders' focus on his unfiltered responses to catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$119,320 Vol.
Too Big to Rig
28%
Nancy / Pelosi
20%
No Inflation
9%
Khamenei
12%
What's Up
14%
Crypto / Bitcoin
9%
Finish the Job
10%
Doug / Burgum
10%
Democrat Shutdown
10%
Claude / Anthropic
8%
Affair
8%
Egghead
8%
Migrant Crime
6%
Armada
11%
Cure to Cancer
5%
$119,320 Vol.
Too Big to Rig
28%
Nancy / Pelosi
20%
No Inflation
9%
Khamenei
12%
What's Up
14%
Crypto / Bitcoin
9%
Finish the Job
10%
Doug / Burgum
10%
Democrat Shutdown
10%
Claude / Anthropic
8%
Affair
8%
Egghead
8%
Migrant Crime
6%
Armada
11%
Cure to Cancer
5%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 13, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's pattern of frequent Truth Social posts and rally rhetoric addressing legal battles, election integrity, and economic policy, with odds favoring statements on his New York civil fraud case after the March 20 appeals court reduced his bond from $464 million to $175 million—a development his campaign hailed as a win. Recent posts criticized Judge Engoron's ruling and Biden's economy, sustaining momentum on those themes amid no major rallies scheduled for the March 18-24 week, though press gaggles outside hush money trial hearings could prompt comments. Upcoming Easter weekend limits events, but any spontaneous remarks on immigration or January 6 could shift probabilities, underscoring traders' focus on his unfiltered responses to catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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