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What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31?

Market icon

What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31?

$5,366 Vol.

31 mar 2026
Polymarket

$5,366 Vol.

Polymarket

Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times

$314 Vol.

5%

Job 10+ times

$1 Vol.

38%

Nuclear 4+ times

$120 Vol.

57%

Iran 4+ times

$71 Vol.

65%

Easter 3+ times

$125 Vol.

21%

Biden / Obama 4+ times

$336 Vol.

34%

Hell 3+ times

$90 Vol.

26%

China

$373 Vol.

50%

Chicago

$57 Vol.

32%

Pool

$160 Vol.

46%

Peace

$55 Vol.

60%

Fake News

$123 Vol.

42%

Oil

$535 Vol.

50%

Ballroom

$981 Vol.

27%

Kennedy

$149 Vol.

33%

Elon / Musk

$113 Vol.

16%

Strait / Hormuz

$136 Vol.

76%

Autopen

$135 Vol.

60%

NATO

$146 Vol.

51%

Tariff

$94 Vol.

60%

Boots on the ground

$173 Vol.

17%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$120 Vol.

25%

Crypto / Bitcoin

$509 Vol.

5%

-No Qualifying Event-

$707 Vol.

4%

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump is scheduled to conduct an executive order signing ceremony today, March 31, fueling trader focus on his prepared remarks amid a pattern of frequent actions on government efficiency, fraud, and federal contracting. Recent developments include the March 26 order directing federal contractors to eliminate DEI provisions, the March 18 establishment of a fraud task force targeting benefits waste, and the March 6 directive combating cybercrime, all themes prone to numeric emphasis on massive savings or costs. Ongoing DHS funding disputes prompted a recent executive action ensuring TSA paychecks during shutdown threats. Bettors anticipate his signature rhetorical style from past addresses, with resolution based on official White House transcript or video verification post-event.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,366
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 12:11 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump is scheduled to conduct an executive order signing ceremony today, March 31, fueling trader focus on his prepared remarks amid a pattern of frequent actions on government efficiency, fraud, and federal contracting. Recent developments include the March 26 order directing federal contractors to eliminate DEI provisions, the March 18 establishment of a fraud task force targeting benefits waste, and the March 6 directive combating cybercrime, all themes prone to numeric emphasis on massive savings or costs. Ongoing DHS funding disputes prompted a recent executive action ensuring TSA paychecks during shutdown threats. Bettors anticipate his signature rhetorical style from past addresses, with resolution based on official White House transcript or video verification post-event.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,366
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 12:11 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Strait / Hormuz" at 77%, followed by "Iran 4+ times" at 65%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? " is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? ," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? " is "Strait / Hormuz" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Iran 4+ times" at 65%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.