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Política·Primárias

UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Market icon
Política·Primárias

UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Ben McAdams 51%

Nate Blouin 47%

Brian King 1.1%

Luz Escamilla <1%

Polymarket

$19,647 Vol.

Ben McAdams 51%

Nate Blouin 47%

Brian King 1.1%

Luz Escamilla <1%

Polymarket

$19,647 Vol.

Ben McAdams

$5,690 Vol.

51%

Nate Blouin

$2,071 Vol.

47%

Brian King

$406 Vol.

1%

Luz Escamilla

$5,282 Vol.

1%

Kathleen Riebe

$680 Vol.

1%

Jenny Wilson

$625 Vol.

1%

Erin Mendenhall

$3,976 Vol.

1%

Caroline Gleich

$454 Vol.

<1%

Kael Weston

$463 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.A recent Data for Progress poll among likely Democratic primary voters in Utah's newly redrawn 1st Congressional District shows former Rep. Ben McAdams leading Ben McAdams at 36% to state Sen. Nate Blouin's 23% on the initial ballot, with 25% undecided, but Blouin pulling ahead 40%-39% on the informed ballot—mirroring trader consensus of McAdams at 51% implied probability amid high uncertainty. McAdams benefits from strong name recognition and dominance among moderates in the open primary, while Blouin consolidates progressive support in this blue-leaning district created by court-ordered redistricting. The race remains tight due to ideological splits, with separation possible via the April 10 signature deadline, April 25 state convention, additional polls, or fundraising disclosures ahead of the June 23 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,647
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.A recent Data for Progress poll among likely Democratic primary voters in Utah's newly redrawn 1st Congressional District shows former Rep. Ben McAdams leading Ben McAdams at 36% to state Sen. Nate Blouin's 23% on the initial ballot, with 25% undecided, but Blouin pulling ahead 40%-39% on the informed ballot—mirroring trader consensus of McAdams at 51% implied probability amid high uncertainty. McAdams benefits from strong name recognition and dominance among moderates in the open primary, while Blouin consolidates progressive support in this blue-leaning district created by court-ordered redistricting. The race remains tight due to ideological splits, with separation possible via the April 10 signature deadline, April 25 state convention, additional polls, or fundraising disclosures ahead of the June 23 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,647
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ben McAdams" at 51%, followed by "Nate Blouin" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $19.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Ben McAdams" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nate Blouin" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UT-01 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.