Escalating military exchanges between Israel and Iran—highlighted by Iran's October 1 missile barrage on Israel and Israel's retaliatory airstrikes on Iranian military sites on October 26—have sharply reduced near-term prospects for a direct US-Iran diplomatic meeting. The Biden administration, via Secretary Blinken, has urged de-escalation and restraint from all parties while affirming Israel's right to self-defense, but Tehran has rebuffed direct engagement, insisting on sanctions relief preconditions. Indirect nuclear talks through Oman, last held briefly in summer 2024, remain stalled with no breakthroughs. The US presidential election on November 5 introduces further uncertainty to foreign policy signals, as a Trump return could shift diplomatic postures amid ongoing regional tensions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoReunião diplomática EUA x Irão por...?
Reunião diplomática EUA x Irão por...?
$859,049 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
31 de março
13%
30 de abril
54%
30 de junho
79%
$859,049 Vol.
31 de março
$529,685 Vol.
13%
30 de abril
$70,793 Vol.
54%
30 de junho
$12,980 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Escalating military exchanges between Israel and Iran—highlighted by Iran's October 1 missile barrage on Israel and Israel's retaliatory airstrikes on Iranian military sites on October 26—have sharply reduced near-term prospects for a direct US-Iran diplomatic meeting. The Biden administration, via Secretary Blinken, has urged de-escalation and restraint from all parties while affirming Israel's right to self-defense, but Tehran has rebuffed direct engagement, insisting on sanctions relief preconditions. Indirect nuclear talks through Oman, last held briefly in summer 2024, remain stalled with no breakthroughs. The US presidential election on November 5 introduces further uncertainty to foreign policy signals, as a Trump return could shift diplomatic postures amid ongoing regional tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$859,049Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Escalating military exchanges between Israel and Iran—highlighted by Iran's October 1 missile barrage on Israel and Israel's retaliatory airstrikes on Iranian military sites on October 26—have sharply reduced near-term prospects for a direct US-Iran diplomatic meeting. The Biden administration, via Secretary Blinken, has urged de-escalation and restraint from all parties while affirming Israel's right to self-defense, but Tehran has rebuffed direct engagement, insisting on sanctions relief preconditions. Indirect nuclear talks through Oman, last held briefly in summer 2024, remain stalled with no breakthroughs. The US presidential election on November 5 introduces further uncertainty to foreign policy signals, as a Trump return could shift diplomatic postures amid ongoing regional tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$859,049Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Escalating military exchanges between Israel and Iran—highlighted by Iran's October 1 missile barrage on Israel and Israel's retaliatory airstrikes on Iranian military sites on October 26—have sharply reduced near-term prospects for a direct US-Iran diplomatic meeting. The Biden administration, via Secretary Blinken, has urged de-escalation and restraint from all parties while affirming Israel's right to self-defense, but Tehran has rebuffed direct engagement, insisting on sanctions relief preconditions. Indirect nuclear talks through Oman, last held briefly in summer 2024, remain stalled with no breakthroughs. The US presidential election on November 5 introduces further uncertainty to foreign policy signals, as a Trump return could shift diplomatic postures amid ongoing regional tensions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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