US and Israeli airstrikes against Iranian military sites and infrastructure persist into March 31, with recent US B-52 deployments and a strike on Isfahan generating visible fireballs, as confirmed by Pentagon updates. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth described the coming days as "decisive" amid ongoing degradation of Iran's missile capabilities, while President Trump told NBC News operations are "coming to an end" without announcing a ceasefire. Absent verifiable cessation of attacks on Iranian soil per market rules—now day 32 since February 28 launch—traders price 100% consensus for continuation through March 31. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or no-strike declaration could challenge this, though Tehran vows retaliation until victory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAção militar até 31 de março 100.0%
11 de março <1%
12 de março <1%
13 de março <1%
$3,042,109 Vol.
$3,042,109 Vol.
31 mar 2026
11 de março
Não
12 de março
Não
13 de março
Não
14 de março
Não
15 de março
Não
16 de março
Não
17 de março
Não
18 de março
Não
19 de março
Não
20 de março
Não
21 de março
Não
22 de março
Não
23 de março
Não
24 de março
Não
25 de março
Não
26 de março
Não
27 de março
Não
28 de março
Não
29 de março
Não
30 de março
Não
31 de março
Não
Ação militar até 31 de março
Sim
Ação militar até 31 de março 100.0%
11 de março <1%
12 de março <1%
13 de março <1%
$3,042,109 Vol.
$3,042,109 Vol.
31 mar 2026
11 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
12 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
13 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
14 de março
$132,620 Vol.
Não
15 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
16 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
17 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
18 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
19 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
20 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
21 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
22 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
23 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
24 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
25 de março
$0 Vol.
Não
26 de março
$326,382 Vol.
Não
27 de março
$340,372 Vol.
Não
28 de março
$348,513 Vol.
Não
29 de março
$337,518 Vol.
Não
30 de março
$317,133 Vol.
Não
31 de março
$446,292 Vol.
Não
Ação militar até 31 de março
$793,280 Vol.
Sim
This market will resolve according to the next date Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30), on which neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action continues through March 31."
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli airstrikes against Iranian military sites and infrastructure persist into March 31, with recent US B-52 deployments and a strike on Isfahan generating visible fireballs, as confirmed by Pentagon updates. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth described the coming days as "decisive" amid ongoing degradation of Iran's missile capabilities, while President Trump told NBC News operations are "coming to an end" without announcing a ceasefire. Absent verifiable cessation of attacks on Iranian soil per market rules—now day 32 since February 28 launch—traders price 100% consensus for continuation through March 31. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or no-strike declaration could challenge this, though Tehran vows retaliation until victory.
This market will resolve according to the next date Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30), on which neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action continues through March 31."
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action continues through March 31."
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 11, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$3,042,109Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 11, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the next date Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30), on which neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action continues through March 31."
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli airstrikes against Iranian military sites and infrastructure persist into March 31, with recent US B-52 deployments and a strike on Isfahan generating visible fireballs, as confirmed by Pentagon updates. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth described the coming days as "decisive" amid ongoing degradation of Iran's missile capabilities, while President Trump told NBC News operations are "coming to an end" without announcing a ceasefire. Absent verifiable cessation of attacks on Iranian soil per market rules—now day 32 since February 28 launch—traders price 100% consensus for continuation through March 31. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or no-strike declaration could challenge this, though Tehran vows retaliation until victory.
This market will resolve according to the next date Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30), on which neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action continues through March 31."
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If strikes could be verified under the prior rule for each listed day, this market will resolve to "Military action continues through March 31."
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,042,109Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 11, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
US and Israeli airstrikes against Iranian military sites and infrastructure persist into March 31, with recent US B-52 deployments and a strike on Isfahan generating visible fireballs, as confirmed by Pentagon updates. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth described the coming days as "decisive" amid ongoing degradation of Iran's missile capabilities, while President Trump told NBC News operations are "coming to an end" without announcing a ceasefire. Absent verifiable cessation of attacks on Iranian soil per market rules—now day 32 since February 28 launch—traders price 100% consensus for continuation through March 31. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough or no-strike declaration could challenge this, though Tehran vows retaliation until victory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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