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Eleições·Primária Do Senado

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Dakota do Sul

Market icon
Eleições·Primária Do Senado

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Dakota do Sul

Mike Rounds 92%

Kristi Noem 4.9%

Justin McNeal 3.2%

Polymarket

$18,995 Vol.

Mike Rounds 92%

Kristi Noem 4.9%

Justin McNeal 3.2%

Polymarket

$18,995 Vol.

Mike Rounds

$3,062 Vol.

92%

Kristi Noem

$1,866 Vol.

5%

Justin McNeal

$14,068 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Senator Mike Rounds leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability for the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his January formal reelection announcement and strong incumbency advantage in the solidly red state's low-turnout primary, where establishment favorites historically prevail amid limited opposition fundraising and name recognition. Navy veteran Justin McNeal's March 15 campaign launch as a grassroots challenger emphasizing debt reduction and term limits has lifted his odds to 3.2%, reflecting modest early buzz but facing steep barriers against Rounds' entrenched support. Speculation around Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem challenging Rounds persists from February reports but remains at 5.5% without a formal entry, underscoring trader skepticism absent concrete moves before the filing deadline.

Incumbent Senator Mike Rounds leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability for the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his January formal reelection announcement and strong incumbency advantage in the solidly red state's low-turnout primary, where establishment favorites historically prevail amid limited opposition fundraising and name recognition. Navy veteran Justin McNeal's March 15 campaign launch as a grassroots challenger emphasizing debt reduction and term limits has lifted his odds to 3.2%, reflecting modest early buzz but facing steep barriers against Rounds' entrenched support. Speculation around Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem challenging Rounds persists from February reports but remains at 5.5% without a formal entry, underscoring trader skepticism absent concrete moves before the filing deadline.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Senator Mike Rounds leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability for the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his January formal reelection announcement and strong incumbency advantage in the solidly red state's low-turnout primary, where establishment favorites historically prevail amid limited opposition fundraising and name recognition. Navy veteran Justin McNeal's March 15 campaign launch as a grassroots challenger emphasizing debt reduction and term limits has lifted his odds to 3.2%, reflecting modest early buzz but facing steep barriers against Rounds' entrenched support. Speculation around Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem challenging Rounds persists from February reports but remains at 5.5% without a formal entry, underscoring trader skepticism absent concrete moves before the filing deadline.

Incumbent Senator Mike Rounds leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability for the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his January formal reelection announcement and strong incumbency advantage in the solidly red state's low-turnout primary, where establishment favorites historically prevail amid limited opposition fundraising and name recognition. Navy veteran Justin McNeal's March 15 campaign launch as a grassroots challenger emphasizing debt reduction and term limits has lifted his odds to 3.2%, reflecting modest early buzz but facing steep barriers against Rounds' entrenched support. Speculation around Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem challenging Rounds persists from February reports but remains at 5.5% without a formal entry, underscoring trader skepticism absent concrete moves before the filing deadline.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Dakota do Sul" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Rounds" at 92%, followed by "Kristi Noem" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Dakota do Sul" has generated $19K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Dakota do Sul," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Dakota do Sul" is "Mike Rounds" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kristi Noem" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Dakota do Sul" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.