Aaron Guckian holds a trader consensus edge as the leading contender in Rhode Island's Republican gubernatorial primary on September 10, driven by recent polling momentum and superior fundraising, where he reported over $500,000 raised compared to Elaine Pelino's $300,000 as of late August filings. Pelino, a former state representative, maintains strong support through legislative experience and grassroots endorsements, keeping the race competitive in a field lacking dominant incumbency. Ashley Kalus trails after her 2022 general election loss despite self-funding, while Robert Raimondo and Jessica de la Cruz lag amid limited visibility. With early voting underway and no major debates in the past week, trader odds reflect uncertain turnout among the state's small GOP primary electorate.