Trader consensus favors Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028, propelled by his August 2024 endorsement of Donald Trump after suspending his independent bid, which has amplified his populist, anti-establishment appeal among MAGA base voters skeptical of vaccines and big pharma. J.D. Vance holds 37% as Trump's vice presidential pick, cementing his status as heir apparent in a post-Trump era constrained by term limits, with the Trump-Vance ticket leading national polls ahead of the November 5 election. Marco Rubio trails at 22%, buoyed by his Senate Foreign Relations Committee role and prior national profile, though the field remains fluid pending 2024 results and early primary positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCandidato presidencial republicano 2028
Candidato presidencial republicano 2028
J.D. Vance 36.6%
Marco Rubio 22.4%
Tucker Carlson 4.3%
Ron DeSantis 2.6%
$473,823,167 Vol.
$473,823,167 Vol.

J.D. Vance
37%

Marco Rubio
22%

Tucker Carlson
4%

Ron DeSantis
3%

Donald Trump
2%

Thomas Massie
2%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Matt Gaetz
1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Ted Cruz
1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%

Brian Kemp
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Josh Hawley
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Elise Stefanik
1%

John Thune
1%

Kristi Noem
1%

Joe Kent
1%

Tom Brady
1%

Steve Bannon
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Byron Donalds
1%

Erika Kirk
1%

Mike Pence
1%
J.D. Vance 36.6%
Marco Rubio 22.4%
Tucker Carlson 4.3%
Ron DeSantis 2.6%
$473,823,167 Vol.
$473,823,167 Vol.

J.D. Vance
37%

Marco Rubio
22%

Tucker Carlson
4%

Ron DeSantis
3%

Donald Trump
2%

Thomas Massie
2%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Matt Gaetz
1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Ted Cruz
1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%

Brian Kemp
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Josh Hawley
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Elise Stefanik
1%

John Thune
1%

Kristi Noem
1%

Joe Kent
1%

Tom Brady
1%

Steve Bannon
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Byron Donalds
1%

Erika Kirk
1%

Mike Pence
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
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0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
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0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus favors Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028, propelled by his August 2024 endorsement of Donald Trump after suspending his independent bid, which has amplified his populist, anti-establishment appeal among MAGA base voters skeptical of vaccines and big pharma. J.D. Vance holds 37% as Trump's vice presidential pick, cementing his status as heir apparent in a post-Trump era constrained by term limits, with the Trump-Vance ticket leading national polls ahead of the November 5 election. Marco Rubio trails at 22%, buoyed by his Senate Foreign Relations Committee role and prior national profile, though the field remains fluid pending 2024 results and early primary positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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