Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the leading Republican presidential nominee for 2028 at 49%, driven by his recent nomination as HHS Secretary in the incoming Trump administration, amplifying his visibility on health policy and anti-establishment appeal to the GOP base following his 2024 Trump endorsement. J.D. Vance trails at 36.6%, bolstered by his vice presidential role and strong performance in swing states during the 2024 election, positioning him as a natural heir apparent amid Trump's term limits. Marco Rubio's 23.8% reflects his nomination as Secretary of State, enhancing his foreign policy credentials and Florida incumbency. Recent cabinet announcements in late November 2024 have concentrated odds on administration insiders, with Senate confirmation hearings ahead as a key catalyst for shifts ahead of the 2028 primaries.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCandidato presidencial republicano 2028
Candidato presidencial republicano 2028
J.D. Vance 36.6%
Marco Rubio 23.5%
Tucker Carlson 4.5%
Ron DeSantis 2.6%
$473,244,068 Vol.
$473,244,068 Vol.

J.D. Vance
37%

Marco Rubio
24%

Tucker Carlson
4%

Ron DeSantis
3%

Donald Trump
2%

Thomas Massie
2%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Matt Gaetz
1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Ted Cruz
1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%

Brian Kemp
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Josh Hawley
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Kristi Noem
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Elise Stefanik
1%

John Thune
1%

Joe Kent
1%

Tom Brady
1%

Steve Bannon
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Byron Donalds
1%

Erika Kirk
1%

Mike Pence
1%
J.D. Vance 36.6%
Marco Rubio 23.5%
Tucker Carlson 4.5%
Ron DeSantis 2.6%
$473,244,068 Vol.
$473,244,068 Vol.

J.D. Vance
37%

Marco Rubio
24%

Tucker Carlson
4%

Ron DeSantis
3%

Donald Trump
2%

Thomas Massie
2%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Matt Gaetz
1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Ted Cruz
1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%

Brian Kemp
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Josh Hawley
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Kristi Noem
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Elise Stefanik
1%

John Thune
1%

Joe Kent
1%

Tom Brady
1%

Steve Bannon
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Byron Donalds
1%

Erika Kirk
1%

Mike Pence
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the leading Republican presidential nominee for 2028 at 49%, driven by his recent nomination as HHS Secretary in the incoming Trump administration, amplifying his visibility on health policy and anti-establishment appeal to the GOP base following his 2024 Trump endorsement. J.D. Vance trails at 36.6%, bolstered by his vice presidential role and strong performance in swing states during the 2024 election, positioning him as a natural heir apparent amid Trump's term limits. Marco Rubio's 23.8% reflects his nomination as Secretary of State, enhancing his foreign policy credentials and Florida incumbency. Recent cabinet announcements in late November 2024 have concentrated odds on administration insiders, with Senate confirmation hearings ahead as a key catalyst for shifts ahead of the 2028 primaries.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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