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Eleições·Colômbia

# de vagas conquistadas pela PH na eleição para o Senado da Colômbia?

Market icon
Eleições·Colômbia

# de vagas conquistadas pela PH na eleição para o Senado da Colômbia?

24-26 89.4%

27-29 4.3%

30+ 1.9%

menos de 18 <1%

Polymarket

$89,647 Vol.

24-26 89.4%

27-29 4.3%

30+ 1.9%

menos de 18 <1%

Polymarket

$89,647 Vol.

menos de 18

$15,082 Vol.

<1%

18-20

$0 Vol.

<1%

21-23

$0 Vol.

<1%

24-26

$26,059 Vol.

89%

27-29

$30,467 Vol.

4%

30+

$18,039 Vol.

2%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Following the March 8, 2026, legislative elections, trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Pacto Histórico (PH) securing 24-26 seats in Colombia's 108-seat Senate, reflecting final scrutiny results from the Registraduría Nacional confirming 25 curules via national proportional representation. PH topped the vote with 22.7%, ahead of Centro Democrático's 17 seats, but fell short of a majority amid a polarized electorate. Recent escrutinio processes, completed in late March, resolved minor recounts and stabilized projections around 25 seats, boosting the 89.4% implied probability while pricing lower outcomes as improbable given vote distributions. Presidential primaries on May 31 loom, but Senate allocation now awaits formal certification.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$89,647
Data de Término
8 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Following the March 8, 2026, legislative elections, trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Pacto Histórico (PH) securing 24-26 seats in Colombia's 108-seat Senate, reflecting final scrutiny results from the Registraduría Nacional confirming 25 curules via national proportional representation. PH topped the vote with 22.7%, ahead of Centro Democrático's 17 seats, but fell short of a majority amid a polarized electorate. Recent escrutinio processes, completed in late March, resolved minor recounts and stabilized projections around 25 seats, boosting the 89.4% implied probability while pricing lower outcomes as improbable given vote distributions. Presidential primaries on May 31 loom, but Senate allocation now awaits formal certification.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$89,647
Data de Término
8 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"# de vagas conquistadas pela PH na eleição para o Senado da Colômbia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "24-26" at 89%, followed by "27-29" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# de vagas conquistadas pela PH na eleição para o Senado da Colômbia?" has generated $89.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# de vagas conquistadas pela PH na eleição para o Senado da Colômbia?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# de vagas conquistadas pela PH na eleição para o Senado da Colômbia?" is "24-26" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "27-29" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# de vagas conquistadas pela PH na eleição para o Senado da Colômbia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.