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Mundo·Eleições Globais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia

Market icon
Mundo·Eleições Globais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia

Magdalena Andersson 59%

Ulf Kristersson 34%

Jimmie Åkesson 5.3%

Ebba Busch 2.2%

Polymarket

$1,219,965 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 59%

Ulf Kristersson 34%

Jimmie Åkesson 5.3%

Ebba Busch 2.2%

Polymarket

$1,219,965 Vol.

Market icon

Magdalena Andersson

$36,173 Vol.

59%

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Ulf Kristersson

$33,503 Vol.

34%

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Jimmie Åkesson

$910,205 Vol.

5%

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Ebba Busch

$179,901 Vol.

2%

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Amanda Lind

$9,714 Vol.

<1%

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Nooshi Dadgostar

$7,985 Vol.

<1%

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Anna-Karin Hatt

$9,787 Vol.

<1%

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Simona Mohamsson

$12,923 Vol.

<1%

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Daniel Helldén

$8,975 Vol.

<1%

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Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$10,800 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% to become Sweden's next Prime Minister after the 2026 parliamentary election, driven by consistent polling averages showing her Social Democrats (S) leading at 36-38%—up slightly in recent Sifo and Novus surveys amid voter concerns over rising gang violence, immigration policy strains, and economic pressures under the current Tidö Agreement coalition. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails at 34%, reflecting Moderates' (M) 19-20% support despite government stability following a failed no-confidence motion against Justice Minister Gunnar Strömmer in October 2024. Jimmie Åkesson (5.3%) gains from Sweden Democrats' (SD) steady 20% as potential kingmaker in coalition talks under proportional representation, while others lag due to minor party standings. No snap election looms, with focus on September 2026 vote.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% to become Sweden's next Prime Minister after the 2026 parliamentary election, driven by consistent polling averages showing her Social Democrats (S) leading at 36-38%—up slightly in recent Sifo and Novus surveys amid voter concerns over rising gang violence, immigration policy strains, and economic pressures under the current Tidö Agreement coalition. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails at 34%, reflecting Moderates' (M) 19-20% support despite government stability following a failed no-confidence motion against Justice Minister Gunnar Strömmer in October 2024. Jimmie Åkesson (5.3%) gains from Sweden Democrats' (SD) steady 20% as potential kingmaker in coalition talks under proportional representation, while others lag due to minor party standings. No snap election looms, with focus on September 2026 vote.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% to become Sweden's next Prime Minister after the 2026 parliamentary election, driven by consistent polling averages showing her Social Democrats (S) leading at 36-38%—up slightly in recent Sifo and Novus surveys amid voter concerns over rising gang violence, immigration policy strains, and economic pressures under the current Tidö Agreement coalition. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails at 34%, reflecting Moderates' (M) 19-20% support despite government stability following a failed no-confidence motion against Justice Minister Gunnar Strömmer in October 2024. Jimmie Åkesson (5.3%) gains from Sweden Democrats' (SD) steady 20% as potential kingmaker in coalition talks under proportional representation, while others lag due to minor party standings. No snap election looms, with focus on September 2026 vote.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% to become Sweden's next Prime Minister after the 2026 parliamentary election, driven by consistent polling averages showing her Social Democrats (S) leading at 36-38%—up slightly in recent Sifo and Novus surveys amid voter concerns over rising gang violence, immigration policy strains, and economic pressures under the current Tidö Agreement coalition. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails at 34%, reflecting Moderates' (M) 19-20% support despite government stability following a failed no-confidence motion against Justice Minister Gunnar Strömmer in October 2024. Jimmie Åkesson (5.3%) gains from Sweden Democrats' (SD) steady 20% as potential kingmaker in coalition talks under proportional representation, while others lag due to minor party standings. No snap election looms, with focus on September 2026 vote.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Magdalena Andersson" at 59%, followed by "Ulf Kristersson" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" is "Magdalena Andersson" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ulf Kristersson" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.