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Eleições·Gronelândia

O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?

Market icon
Eleições·Gronelândia

O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?

Mette Frederiksen 88%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 5.6%

Troels Lund Poulsen 2.0%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$5,340,409 Vol.

Mette Frederiksen 88%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 5.6%

Troels Lund Poulsen 2.0%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$5,340,409 Vol.

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Mette Frederiksen

$1,073,666 Vol.

88%

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Lars Løkke Rasmussen

$1,908,890 Vol.

6%

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Troels Lund Poulsen

$1,103,726 Vol.

2%

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Alex Vanopslagh

$631,806 Vol.

<1%

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Mona Juul

$92,075 Vol.

<1%

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Inger Støjberg

$41,180 Vol.

<1%

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Morten Messerschmidt

$176,594 Vol.

<1%

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Lars Boje Mathiesen

$89,890 Vol.

<1%

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Martin Lidegaard

$41,698 Vol.

<1%

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Pia Olsen Dyhr

$121,986 Vol.

<1%

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Pelle Dragsted

$58,898 Vol.

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the March 24 snap election, Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats won the most seats (38) in the Folketing despite a historic slump to 21.85%, with her red bloc falling short at 86 of 90 needed for majority in Denmark's proportional representation system. King Frederik X appointed Frederiksen formateur on March 25, tasking her to lead coalition talks as caretaker prime minister—a move reinforcing trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability for her third term, drawing on her 2022 dealmaking precedent amid overtures to Moderates and Social Liberals. Lars Løkke Rasmussen trails at 5.6% as Moderates' leader (14 seats) and former prime minister, positioned as potential kingmaker or alternative in centrist alliances, while others lag due to smaller blocs. Ongoing negotiations, complicated by Venstre's rejection of red partners, remain pivotal.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,340,409
Data de Término
24 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the March 24 snap election, Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats won the most seats (38) in the Folketing despite a historic slump to 21.85%, with her red bloc falling short at 86 of 90 needed for majority in Denmark's proportional representation system. King Frederik X appointed Frederiksen formateur on March 25, tasking her to lead coalition talks as caretaker prime minister—a move reinforcing trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability for her third term, drawing on her 2022 dealmaking precedent amid overtures to Moderates and Social Liberals. Lars Løkke Rasmussen trails at 5.6% as Moderates' leader (14 seats) and former prime minister, positioned as potential kingmaker or alternative in centrist alliances, while others lag due to smaller blocs. Ongoing negotiations, complicated by Venstre's rejection of red partners, remain pivotal.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,340,409
Data de Término
24 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mette Frederiksen" at 88%, followed by "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?" has generated $5.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?" is "Mette Frederiksen" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.