Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Romuald Wadagni at 98.7% implied probability for Benin's April 12 presidential election, driven by his selection as the ruling Union Progressiste's candidate and President Patrice Talon's designated successor after pro-government parties swept all 109 National Assembly seats in January legislative polls. The Constitutional Court barred major opposition parties like Les Démocrates for failing sponsorship thresholds, leaving only Paul Hounkpè of the Forces Cauris pour un Bénin Émergent as viable challenger. Campaign launched March 30 with Wadagni securing endorsements from ex-opposition figures amid low turnout concerns from prior votes. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, health event, or Hounkpè surge forcing a two-round runoff, though institutional control limits upside.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNext President of Benin
Next President of Benin
NOVO
NOVO
12 abr 2026
Romuald Wadagni
99%
Paul Hounkpè
1%
NOVO
NOVO
12 abr 2026
Romuald Wadagni
$7,219 Vol.
99%
Paul Hounkpè
$977 Vol.
1%
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Romuald Wadagni at 98.7% implied probability for Benin's April 12 presidential election, driven by his selection as the ruling Union Progressiste's candidate and President Patrice Talon's designated successor after pro-government parties swept all 109 National Assembly seats in January legislative polls. The Constitutional Court barred major opposition parties like Les Démocrates for failing sponsorship thresholds, leaving only Paul Hounkpè of the Forces Cauris pour un Bénin Émergent as viable challenger. Campaign launched March 30 with Wadagni securing endorsements from ex-opposition figures amid low turnout concerns from prior votes. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, health event, or Hounkpè surge forcing a two-round runoff, though institutional control limits upside.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Volume
$8,196Data de Término
12 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Romuald Wadagni at 98.7% implied probability for Benin's April 12 presidential election, driven by his selection as the ruling Union Progressiste's candidate and President Patrice Talon's designated successor after pro-government parties swept all 109 National Assembly seats in January legislative polls. The Constitutional Court barred major opposition parties like Les Démocrates for failing sponsorship thresholds, leaving only Paul Hounkpè of the Forces Cauris pour un Bénin Émergent as viable challenger. Campaign launched March 30 with Wadagni securing endorsements from ex-opposition figures amid low turnout concerns from prior votes. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, health event, or Hounkpè surge forcing a two-round runoff, though institutional control limits upside.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,196Data de Término
12 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Romuald Wadagni at 98.7% implied probability for Benin's April 12 presidential election, driven by his selection as the ruling Union Progressiste's candidate and President Patrice Talon's designated successor after pro-government parties swept all 109 National Assembly seats in January legislative polls. The Constitutional Court barred major opposition parties like Les Démocrates for failing sponsorship thresholds, leaving only Paul Hounkpè of the Forces Cauris pour un Bénin Émergent as viable challenger. Campaign launched March 30 with Wadagni securing endorsements from ex-opposition figures amid low turnout concerns from prior votes. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, health event, or Hounkpè surge forcing a two-round runoff, though institutional control limits upside.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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