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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana

Reilly Neill 87%

Alani Bankhead 5.3%

Kathleen McLaughlin 4.9%

Michael BlackWolf 3.9%

Polymarket
NOVO

Reilly Neill 87%

Alani Bankhead 5.3%

Kathleen McLaughlin 4.9%

Michael BlackWolf 3.9%

Polymarket
NOVO

Reilly Neill

$3,981 Vol.

87%

Alani Bankhead

$937 Vol.

5%

Kathleen McLaughlin

$45 Vol.

5%

Michael BlackWolf

$0 Vol.

4%

Michael Hummert

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors former Montana House Representative Reilly Neill at 87% implied probability to win the June 2 Democratic Senate primary, propelled by her dominant fundraising lead—raising $147,000 through year-end 2025 compared to under $15,000 for rivals like Alani Bankhead, Michael BlackWolf, and Michael Hummert—fueling superior grassroots organizing and visibility. Neill, who launched her bid immediately after the 2024 election, has sustained momentum via recent events such as a strong March 6 Helena rally and a policy rollout for rural healthcare via the Family Insurance Act, alongside a fresh interview this week on agriculture and data centers. Underfunded challengers, including reportedly withdrawn Kathleen McLaughlin, trail amid absent primary polls, though a late Democratic Party endorsement or high-profile defection could narrow the gap before absentee voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$4,963
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors former Montana House Representative Reilly Neill at 87% implied probability to win the June 2 Democratic Senate primary, propelled by her dominant fundraising lead—raising $147,000 through year-end 2025 compared to under $15,000 for rivals like Alani Bankhead, Michael BlackWolf, and Michael Hummert—fueling superior grassroots organizing and visibility. Neill, who launched her bid immediately after the 2024 election, has sustained momentum via recent events such as a strong March 6 Helena rally and a policy rollout for rural healthcare via the Family Insurance Act, alongside a fresh interview this week on agriculture and data centers. Underfunded challengers, including reportedly withdrawn Kathleen McLaughlin, trail amid absent primary polls, though a late Democratic Party endorsement or high-profile defection could narrow the gap before absentee voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$4,963
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Reilly Neill" at 87%, followed by "Alani Bankhead" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 3, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" is "Reilly Neill" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alani Bankhead" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Montana" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.