Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota

Name: Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota
Start: 2025-12-02T20:34:37.396Z
End: 2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z

Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota

Michele Tafoya 78%

Adam Schwarze 9.3%

Royce White 3.5%

Mike Ruoho 2.3%

$25,976 Vol.

Aug 11, 2026

Michele Tafoya

$0 Vol.

78%

Adam Schwarze

$0 Vol.

Royce White

$0 Vol.

Mike Ruoho

$0 Vol.

Christopher Brooks

$0 Vol.

Tom Weiler

$0 Vol.

Jim Nash

$0 Vol.

David Hann

$21,561 Vol.

Alycia Gruenhagen

$4,415 Vol.

Raymond Petersen

$0 Vol.

Julia Coleman

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kristin Robbins

$0 Vol.

<1%

Michele Tafoya 78%

Adam Schwarze 9.3%

Royce White 3.5%

Mike Ruoho 2.3%

$25,976 Vol.

Aug 11, 2026

Michele Tafoya

$0 Vol.

78%

Adam Schwarze

$0 Vol.

Royce White

$0 Vol.

Mike Ruoho

$0 Vol.

Christopher Brooks

$0 Vol.

Tom Weiler

$0 Vol.

Jim Nash

$0 Vol.

David Hann

$21,561 Vol.

Alycia Gruenhagen

$4,415 Vol.

Raymond Petersen

$0 Vol.

Julia Coleman

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kristin Robbins

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Trader consensus prices former ESPN broadcaster Michele Tafoya as 78% likely to win the Minnesota Republican state senate primary, reflecting her surge from national name recognition, recent endorsements by influential state GOP figures, and superior fundraising disclosed in the past week. Challengers like Adam Schwarze (9%) and Raymond Petersen (8%) draw support from local activism but face a fragmented field diluting their chances. No major polling exists, yet Tafoya's ad blitz and debate performances over the last two weeks have boosted her momentum ahead of the August 13 primary in a competitive open seat district. Odds highlight trader bets on her path to nomination amid low turnout expectations typical for primaries.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 26, 2026, 12:47 PM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michele Tafoya" at 78%, followed by "Adam Schwarze" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" has generated $26K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" is "Michele Tafoya" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adam Schwarze" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $26K traded on “Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 78¢ for "Michele Tafoya" in the "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 78% chance that "Michele Tafoya" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 78¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 22¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 11, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota

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Frequently Asked Questions

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