Market icon
Política·Cuba

Miguel Díaz-Canel como presidente de Cuba até 30 de junho?

Market icon
Política·Cuba

Miguel Díaz-Canel como presidente de Cuba até 30 de junho?

Sim

39% chance
Polymarket

$205,990 Vol.

Sim

39% chance
Polymarket

$205,990 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel remains firmly in office amid ongoing economic turmoil and energy shortages, with no official announcements or National Assembly actions signaling his removal by June 30. Recent protests in Santiago de Cuba over blackouts in March drew government crackdowns but failed to erode Communist Party of Cuba control, reinforcing regime stability. Traders' 60% implied probability on "No" reflects the entrenched one-party system, where leadership transitions occur via controlled elections—Díaz-Canel's latest term runs through 2028—and historical resilience to crises without abrupt ousters. Absent verified health issues, internal purges, or external pressures like U.S. policy shifts, the market anticipates continuity despite emigration waves and inflation exceeding 30%.

Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel remains firmly in office amid ongoing economic turmoil and energy shortages, with no official announcements or National Assembly actions signaling his removal by June 30. Recent protests in Santiago de Cuba over blackouts in March drew government crackdowns but failed to erode Communist Party of Cuba control, reinforcing regime stability. Traders' 60% implied probability on "No" reflects the entrenched one-party system, where leadership transitions occur via controlled elections—Díaz-Canel's latest term runs through 2028—and historical resilience to crises without abrupt ousters. Absent verified health issues, internal purges, or external pressures like U.S. policy shifts, the market anticipates continuity despite emigration waves and inflation exceeding 30%.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel remains firmly in office amid ongoing economic turmoil and energy shortages, with no official announcements or National Assembly actions signaling his removal by June 30. Recent protests in Santiago de Cuba over blackouts in March drew government crackdowns but failed to erode Communist Party of Cuba control, reinforcing regime stability. Traders' 60% implied probability on "No" reflects the entrenched one-party system, where leadership transitions occur via controlled elections—Díaz-Canel's latest term runs through 2028—and historical resilience to crises without abrupt ousters. Absent verified health issues, internal purges, or external pressures like U.S. policy shifts, the market anticipates continuity despite emigration waves and inflation exceeding 30%.

Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel remains firmly in office amid ongoing economic turmoil and energy shortages, with no official announcements or National Assembly actions signaling his removal by June 30. Recent protests in Santiago de Cuba over blackouts in March drew government crackdowns but failed to erode Communist Party of Cuba control, reinforcing regime stability. Traders' 60% implied probability on "No" reflects the entrenched one-party system, where leadership transitions occur via controlled elections—Díaz-Canel's latest term runs through 2028—and historical resilience to crises without abrupt ousters. Absent verified health issues, internal purges, or external pressures like U.S. policy shifts, the market anticipates continuity despite emigration waves and inflation exceeding 30%.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Miguel Díaz-Canel como presidente de Cuba até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Miguel Díaz-Canel deixará de ser presidente de Cuba até 30 de junho?" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Miguel Díaz-Canel como presidente de Cuba até 30 de junho?" has generated $206K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Miguel Díaz-Canel como presidente de Cuba até 30 de junho?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Miguel Díaz-Canel como presidente de Cuba até 30 de junho?" is "Miguel Díaz-Canel deixará de ser presidente de Cuba até 30 de junho?" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Miguel Díaz-Canel como presidente de Cuba até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.