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Vencedor da eleição para governador de Massachusetts

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Vencedor da eleição para governador de Massachusetts

$12,718 Vol.

Polymarket

$12,718 Vol.

Market icon

Democrata

$4,389 Vol.

94%

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Republicano

$8,329 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's reelection launch on January 20, 2026, and consistent double-digit leads over Republican challengers in recent polls, such as University of New Hampshire and Boston Globe/Suffolk surveys, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at overwhelming odds to retain the Massachusetts governorship. The state's entrenched Democratic dominance—last electing a Republican in 2014—and Healey's incumbency advantage in a Solid D race per Cook Political Report further solidify this positioning, with no major scandals or shifts in the past 30 days. GOP primary contenders like Michael Minogue, Mike Kennealy, and Kate Shortsleeve vie for September 15 nomination amid internal polling, but face steep uphill path. Scenarios like a Healey controversy, economic downturn pinned on state leadership, or national Republican wave could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's reelection launch on January 20, 2026, and consistent double-digit leads over Republican challengers in recent polls, such as University of New Hampshire and Boston Globe/Suffolk surveys, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at overwhelming odds to retain the Massachusetts governorship. The state's entrenched Democratic dominance—last electing a Republican in 2014—and Healey's incumbency advantage in a Solid D race per Cook Political Report further solidify this positioning, with no major scandals or shifts in the past 30 days. GOP primary contenders like Michael Minogue, Mike Kennealy, and Kate Shortsleeve vie for September 15 nomination amid internal polling, but face steep uphill path. Scenarios like a Healey controversy, economic downturn pinned on state leadership, or national Republican wave could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's reelection launch on January 20, 2026, and consistent double-digit leads over Republican challengers in recent polls, such as University of New Hampshire and Boston Globe/Suffolk surveys, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at overwhelming odds to retain the Massachusetts governorship. The state's entrenched Democratic dominance—last electing a Republican in 2014—and Healey's incumbency advantage in a Solid D race per Cook Political Report further solidify this positioning, with no major scandals or shifts in the past 30 days. GOP primary contenders like Michael Minogue, Mike Kennealy, and Kate Shortsleeve vie for September 15 nomination amid internal polling, but face steep uphill path. Scenarios like a Healey controversy, economic downturn pinned on state leadership, or national Republican wave could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.

Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's reelection launch on January 20, 2026, and consistent double-digit leads over Republican challengers in recent polls, such as University of New Hampshire and Boston Globe/Suffolk surveys, underpin trader consensus pricing Democrats at overwhelming odds to retain the Massachusetts governorship. The state's entrenched Democratic dominance—last electing a Republican in 2014—and Healey's incumbency advantage in a Solid D race per Cook Political Report further solidify this positioning, with no major scandals or shifts in the past 30 days. GOP primary contenders like Michael Minogue, Mike Kennealy, and Kate Shortsleeve vie for September 15 nomination amid internal polling, but face steep uphill path. Scenarios like a Healey controversy, economic downturn pinned on state leadership, or national Republican wave could challenge this, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Massachusetts" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Democrata" at 94%, followed by "Republicano" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Massachusetts" has generated $12.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Massachusetts," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Massachusetts" is "Democrata" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Republicano" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Massachusetts" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.