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Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)

Market icon
Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)

René Yahuasi Calamani 33.6%

Luis Antonio Revilla 32.9%

Fidel Chura 10.5%

Richard Andrés Gómez 9.3%

Polymarket

$11,964 Vol.

René Yahuasi Calamani 33.6%

Luis Antonio Revilla 32.9%

Fidel Chura 10.5%

Richard Andrés Gómez 9.3%

Polymarket

$11,964 Vol.

René Yahuasi Calamani

$0 Vol.

34%

Luis Antonio Revilla

$8,378 Vol.

51%

Fidel Chura

$0 Vol.

11%

Richard Andrés Gómez

$1,218 Vol.

9%

Santos Quispe Quispe

$0 Vol.

9%

Felix Patzi

$0 Vol.

7%

Augusto Saturnino Oblitas

$1,245 Vol.

4%

Germán Riveros

$1,123 Vol.

3%

Rafael Quispe Flores

$0 Vol.

3%

Demetrio Villca

$0 Vol.

1%

Orlando Callisaya

$0 Vol.

<1%

Gualberto Cusi

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer

$0 Vol.

9%

Clemente Gutiérrez

$0 Vol.

<1%

Leopoldo Richar Chui

$0 Vol.

<1%

The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).In Bolivia's subnational elections held March 22, 2026, La Paz's first-round gubernatorial vote fragmented across candidates, with Luis Antonio Revilla of centre-right Patria-SOL securing 20.02% to top the field and René Yahuasi Calamani of MAS taking 9.18% for second, forcing a runoff on April 19. Official results finalized March 26 by the departmental electoral tribunal reflect Revilla's stronger urban support from his prior mayoral tenure, positioning him as trader consensus favorite at 51% implied probability, while Yahuasi trails at 34% amid MAS internal divisions. Lower shares for Fidel Chura (around 10%) and others highlight undecided voters and potential endorsements as pivotal, with Revilla vowing intensified provincial campaigning to consolidate leads.

In Bolivia's subnational elections held March 22, 2026, La Paz's first-round gubernatorial vote fragmented across candidates, with Luis Antonio Revilla of centre-right Patria-SOL securing 20.02% to top the field and René Yahuasi Calamani of MAS taking 9.18% for second, forcing a runoff on April 19. Official results finalized March 26 by the departmental electoral tribunal reflect Revilla's stronger urban support from his prior mayoral tenure, positioning him as trader consensus favorite at 51% implied probability, while Yahuasi trails at 34% amid MAS internal divisions. Lower shares for Fidel Chura (around 10%) and others highlight undecided voters and potential endorsements as pivotal, with Revilla vowing intensified provincial campaigning to consolidate leads.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).In Bolivia's subnational elections held March 22, 2026, La Paz's first-round gubernatorial vote fragmented across candidates, with Luis Antonio Revilla of centre-right Patria-SOL securing 20.02% to top the field and René Yahuasi Calamani of MAS taking 9.18% for second, forcing a runoff on April 19. Official results finalized March 26 by the departmental electoral tribunal reflect Revilla's stronger urban support from his prior mayoral tenure, positioning him as trader consensus favorite at 51% implied probability, while Yahuasi trails at 34% amid MAS internal divisions. Lower shares for Fidel Chura (around 10%) and others highlight undecided voters and potential endorsements as pivotal, with Revilla vowing intensified provincial campaigning to consolidate leads.

In Bolivia's subnational elections held March 22, 2026, La Paz's first-round gubernatorial vote fragmented across candidates, with Luis Antonio Revilla of centre-right Patria-SOL securing 20.02% to top the field and René Yahuasi Calamani of MAS taking 9.18% for second, forcing a runoff on April 19. Official results finalized March 26 by the departmental electoral tribunal reflect Revilla's stronger urban support from his prior mayoral tenure, positioning him as trader consensus favorite at 51% implied probability, while Yahuasi trails at 34% amid MAS internal divisions. Lower shares for Fidel Chura (around 10%) and others highlight undecided voters and potential endorsements as pivotal, with Revilla vowing intensified provincial campaigning to consolidate leads.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Luis Antonio Revilla" at 51%, followed by "René Yahuasi Calamani" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)" has generated $12K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)" is "Luis Antonio Revilla" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "René Yahuasi Calamani" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.