Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Kerala

Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Globais

Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Kerala

INC 69%

CPI(M) 28%

BSP <1%

CPI <1%

Polymarket

$46,678 Vol.

INC 69%

CPI(M) 28%

BSP <1%

CPI <1%

Polymarket

$46,678 Vol.

Market icon

INC

$5,702 Vol.

69%

Market icon

CPI(M)

$5,167 Vol.

28%

Market icon

BSP

$2,991 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

CPI

$3,064 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

RSP

$2,943 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

KEC(M)

$3,013 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

NCP

$13,142 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

JD(S)

$3,915 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

BJP

$3,806 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

IUML

$2,935 Vol.

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Indian National Congress (INC)-led United Democratic Front (UDF) at 68.5% implied probability to emerge as the Kerala Legislative Assembly election winner on April 9, 2026, reflecting recent opinion polls like Janmat's projection of 73-76 seats for Congress+ in the 140-seat house amid anti-incumbency against the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after a decade in power. CPI(M)-led LDF trails at 28%, pressured by internal frictions such as the recent expulsion of dissident K.P. Ramani and UDF accusations of secret BJP ties fragmenting left votes. Neck-and-neck surveys, including Oneindia's from the past day highlighting NDA as a decisive third force in key seats, underscore the tight bipolar contest, with NDA's low 0.3% odds signaling limited breakthrough despite candidate lists released mid-March. Campaign barbs and Shashi Tharoor's UDF confidence further tilt sentiment toward an opposition change.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Indian National Congress (INC)-led United Democratic Front (UDF) at 68.5% implied probability to emerge as the Kerala Legislative Assembly election winner on April 9, 2026, reflecting recent opinion polls like Janmat's projection of 73-76 seats for Congress+ in the 140-seat house amid anti-incumbency against the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after a decade in power. CPI(M)-led LDF trails at 28%, pressured by internal frictions such as the recent expulsion of dissident K.P. Ramani and UDF accusations of secret BJP ties fragmenting left votes. Neck-and-neck surveys, including Oneindia's from the past day highlighting NDA as a decisive third force in key seats, underscore the tight bipolar contest, with NDA's low 0.3% odds signaling limited breakthrough despite candidate lists released mid-March. Campaign barbs and Shashi Tharoor's UDF confidence further tilt sentiment toward an opposition change.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Indian National Congress (INC)-led United Democratic Front (UDF) at 68.5% implied probability to emerge as the Kerala Legislative Assembly election winner on April 9, 2026, reflecting recent opinion polls like Janmat's projection of 73-76 seats for Congress+ in the 140-seat house amid anti-incumbency against the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after a decade in power. CPI(M)-led LDF trails at 28%, pressured by internal frictions such as the recent expulsion of dissident K.P. Ramani and UDF accusations of secret BJP ties fragmenting left votes. Neck-and-neck surveys, including Oneindia's from the past day highlighting NDA as a decisive third force in key seats, underscore the tight bipolar contest, with NDA's low 0.3% odds signaling limited breakthrough despite candidate lists released mid-March. Campaign barbs and Shashi Tharoor's UDF confidence further tilt sentiment toward an opposition change.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Indian National Congress (INC)-led United Democratic Front (UDF) at 68.5% implied probability to emerge as the Kerala Legislative Assembly election winner on April 9, 2026, reflecting recent opinion polls like Janmat's projection of 73-76 seats for Congress+ in the 140-seat house amid anti-incumbency against the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after a decade in power. CPI(M)-led LDF trails at 28%, pressured by internal frictions such as the recent expulsion of dissident K.P. Ramani and UDF accusations of secret BJP ties fragmenting left votes. Neck-and-neck surveys, including Oneindia's from the past day highlighting NDA as a decisive third force in key seats, underscore the tight bipolar contest, with NDA's low 0.3% odds signaling limited breakthrough despite candidate lists released mid-March. Campaign barbs and Shashi Tharoor's UDF confidence further tilt sentiment toward an opposition change.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Kerala" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "INC" at 69%, followed by "CPI(M)" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Kerala" has generated $46.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Kerala," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Kerala" is "INC" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "CPI(M)" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Kerala" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.