Former Governor Jeff Colyer leads trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability to win Kansas' August 4 Republican gubernatorial primary, buoyed by his high name recognition from prior statewide service, self-financed campaign exceeding $1 million, and claims of leading early polls as of January. Senate President Ty Masterson follows at 24.5%, strengthened by robust fundraising nearing $700,000 without loans and his high-profile veto override celebration on March 27, showcasing legislative leadership amid GOP unity on key issues. Businessman Philip Sarnecki at 15% and former state Representative Charlotte O’Hara at 11.3% draw outsider and true conservative support in the crowded field, post the January 30 Wichita debate where candidates sparred on priorities; upcoming filing deadline June 1 and further primaries could shift dynamics in this closely contested race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoJeff Colyer 45%
Ty Masterson 25%
Philip Sarnecki 17.5%
Charlotte O’Hara 11.3%
$20,435 Vol.
$20,435 Vol.
Jeff Colyer
45%
Ty Masterson
25%
Philip Sarnecki
18%
Charlotte O’Hara
11%
Stacy Rogers
4%
Joy Eakins
2%
Vicki Schmidt
2%
Scott Schwab
1%
Jeff Colyer 45%
Ty Masterson 25%
Philip Sarnecki 17.5%
Charlotte O’Hara 11.3%
$20,435 Vol.
$20,435 Vol.
Jeff Colyer
45%
Ty Masterson
25%
Philip Sarnecki
18%
Charlotte O’Hara
11%
Stacy Rogers
4%
Joy Eakins
2%
Vicki Schmidt
2%
Scott Schwab
1%
If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Governor Jeff Colyer leads trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability to win Kansas' August 4 Republican gubernatorial primary, buoyed by his high name recognition from prior statewide service, self-financed campaign exceeding $1 million, and claims of leading early polls as of January. Senate President Ty Masterson follows at 24.5%, strengthened by robust fundraising nearing $700,000 without loans and his high-profile veto override celebration on March 27, showcasing legislative leadership amid GOP unity on key issues. Businessman Philip Sarnecki at 15% and former state Representative Charlotte O’Hara at 11.3% draw outsider and true conservative support in the crowded field, post the January 30 Wichita debate where candidates sparred on priorities; upcoming filing deadline June 1 and further primaries could shift dynamics in this closely contested race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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