Vice President JD Vance has emerged as the central figure in U.S. efforts to broker de-escalation with Iran following recent military operations that reportedly set back Tehran's nuclear program and degraded its capabilities. Senior U.S. officials view Vance—known for his skepticism toward prolonged wars—as a key channel, while Iranian signals indicate a preference for him over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner amid mistrust from past diplomacy. Pakistan is pushing to host initial talks in Islamabad as early as next week, per diplomatic sources, though no formal agreement exists. Vance's recent statements emphasize a short-term conflict to "neuter" the regime before withdrawal, heightening prospects for a diplomatic meeting but hinging on negotiation breakthroughs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoReunião diplomática de JD Vance com o Irã por...?
Reunião diplomática de JD Vance com o Irã por...?
$193,901 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
31 de março
2%
10 de abril
13%
$193,901 Vol.
31 de março
$133,616 Vol.
2%
10 de abril
$60,285 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has emerged as the central figure in U.S. efforts to broker de-escalation with Iran following recent military operations that reportedly set back Tehran's nuclear program and degraded its capabilities. Senior U.S. officials view Vance—known for his skepticism toward prolonged wars—as a key channel, while Iranian signals indicate a preference for him over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner amid mistrust from past diplomacy. Pakistan is pushing to host initial talks in Islamabad as early as next week, per diplomatic sources, though no formal agreement exists. Vance's recent statements emphasize a short-term conflict to "neuter" the regime before withdrawal, heightening prospects for a diplomatic meeting but hinging on negotiation breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$193,901Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance has emerged as the central figure in U.S. efforts to broker de-escalation with Iran following recent military operations that reportedly set back Tehran's nuclear program and degraded its capabilities. Senior U.S. officials view Vance—known for his skepticism toward prolonged wars—as a key channel, while Iranian signals indicate a preference for him over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner amid mistrust from past diplomacy. Pakistan is pushing to host initial talks in Islamabad as early as next week, per diplomatic sources, though no formal agreement exists. Vance's recent statements emphasize a short-term conflict to "neuter" the regime before withdrawal, heightening prospects for a diplomatic meeting but hinging on negotiation breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$193,901Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance has emerged as the central figure in U.S. efforts to broker de-escalation with Iran following recent military operations that reportedly set back Tehran's nuclear program and degraded its capabilities. Senior U.S. officials view Vance—known for his skepticism toward prolonged wars—as a key channel, while Iranian signals indicate a preference for him over envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner amid mistrust from past diplomacy. Pakistan is pushing to host initial talks in Islamabad as early as next week, per diplomatic sources, though no formal agreement exists. Vance's recent statements emphasize a short-term conflict to "neuter" the regime before withdrawal, heightening prospects for a diplomatic meeting but hinging on negotiation breakthroughs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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