Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% for Nord Stream pipelines restarting before 2027, driven by entrenched EU sanctions, Russia's ongoing invasion of Ukraine, and Germany's commitment to energy diversification via LNG imports. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's March 27 claim that the US seeks control over the pipelines highlights persistent bilateral tensions without advancing repairs, while President Putin's repeated assertions of an intact Nord Stream 2 pipe remain unacted upon amid unresolved sabotage investigations. The EU's planned prohibition on Russian pipeline gas by April 2027 reinforces structural barriers; a Ukraine peace deal or major diplomatic thaw could shift odds, though none materializes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91..."Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% for Nord Stream pipelines restarting before 2027, driven by entrenched EU sanctions, Russia's ongoing invasion of Ukraine, and Germany's commitment to energy diversification via LNG imports. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's March 27 claim that the US seeks control over the pipelines highlights persistent bilateral tensions without advancing repairs, while President Putin's repeated assertions of an intact Nord Stream 2 pipe remain unacted upon amid unresolved sabotage investigations. The EU's planned prohibition on Russian pipeline gas by April 2027 reinforces structural barriers; a Ukraine peace deal or major diplomatic thaw could shift odds, though none materializes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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