Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary, defeating a write-in challenger and setting up a general election rematch of sorts against Republican Christian Maxwell, who won her primary convincingly over Marcus Lewis. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects IL-01's safe Democratic status (Cook PVI D+18), Jackson's consistent 65-67% victories in prior cycles including 2024 against Lewis, and his fundraising edge with nearly triple Maxwell's cash on hand as of late February. The district's South Side Chicago base favors high Democratic turnout. While a massive Republican midterm wave, Jackson scandal, or legal upset could shift odds before November 3, such barriers remain steep absent major catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoIL-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
IL-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$13,316 Vol.
$13,316 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
93%
Partido Republicano
8%
$13,316 Vol.
$13,316 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$0 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$13,316 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary, defeating a write-in challenger and setting up a general election rematch of sorts against Republican Christian Maxwell, who won her primary convincingly over Marcus Lewis. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects IL-01's safe Democratic status (Cook PVI D+18), Jackson's consistent 65-67% victories in prior cycles including 2024 against Lewis, and his fundraising edge with nearly triple Maxwell's cash on hand as of late February. The district's South Side Chicago base favors high Democratic turnout. While a massive Republican midterm wave, Jackson scandal, or legal upset could shift odds before November 3, such barriers remain steep absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$13,316Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary, defeating a write-in challenger and setting up a general election rematch of sorts against Republican Christian Maxwell, who won her primary convincingly over Marcus Lewis. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects IL-01's safe Democratic status (Cook PVI D+18), Jackson's consistent 65-67% victories in prior cycles including 2024 against Lewis, and his fundraising edge with nearly triple Maxwell's cash on hand as of late February. The district's South Side Chicago base favors high Democratic turnout. While a massive Republican midterm wave, Jackson scandal, or legal upset could shift odds before November 3, such barriers remain steep absent major catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,316Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary, defeating a write-in challenger and setting up a general election rematch of sorts against Republican Christian Maxwell, who won her primary convincingly over Marcus Lewis. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats reflects IL-01's safe Democratic status (Cook PVI D+18), Jackson's consistent 65-67% victories in prior cycles including 2024 against Lewis, and his fundraising edge with nearly triple Maxwell's cash on hand as of late February. The district's South Side Chicago base favors high Democratic turnout. While a massive Republican midterm wave, Jackson scandal, or legal upset could shift odds before November 3, such barriers remain steep absent major catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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