Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Israel Meteorological Service guidance show Tel Aviv's April 5 high temperature clustering tightly around 20-21°C under sunny conditions with light winds, explaining the near-even trader sentiment across 19-22°C outcomes as models diverge slightly on boundary layer mixing and sea breeze effects. A mild cooling trend follows recent scattered showers through April 2-3, with highs dropping from 23-24°C to 21°C amid persistent northerly flow and low precipitation odds (under 10%). Historical April averages near 23°C provide context, but current upper-air patterns favor moderation; daily model updates through April 4 could refine the 1-2°C spread differentiating leaders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv no dia 5 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv no dia 5 de abril?
21°C 25%
20°C 22%
19°C 21%
22°C 13%
16°C ou menos
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
21%
20°C
22%
21°C
25%
22°C
18%
23°C
12%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C ou mais
1%
21°C 25%
20°C 22%
19°C 21%
22°C 13%
16°C ou menos
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
21%
20°C
22%
21°C
25%
22°C
18%
23°C
12%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Israel Meteorological Service guidance show Tel Aviv's April 5 high temperature clustering tightly around 20-21°C under sunny conditions with light winds, explaining the near-even trader sentiment across 19-22°C outcomes as models diverge slightly on boundary layer mixing and sea breeze effects. A mild cooling trend follows recent scattered showers through April 2-3, with highs dropping from 23-24°C to 21°C amid persistent northerly flow and low precipitation odds (under 10%). Historical April averages near 23°C provide context, but current upper-air patterns favor moderation; daily model updates through April 4 could refine the 1-2°C spread differentiating leaders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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