Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a trader consensus edge at 66.5% in the FL-23 Democratic primary due to his strong fundraising—ending 2025 with over $1 million cash on hand—and established support among mainstream Democrats in the closed primary system, set for August 18. Challenger Oliver Adams Larkin has climbed to 33.5% on momentum from the Democratic Socialists of America's first federal endorsement of 2026, announced around April 1, alongside local chapter backing and a March 10 Center for Strategic Politics poll showing Larkin leading 49-36 after balanced bios amid voter opposition to continued military aid to Israel. Upcoming Q1 FEC reports could shift dynamics further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$12,047 Vol.
$12,047 Vol.
Jared Moskowitz
67%
Oliver Adams Larkin
34%
$12,047 Vol.
$12,047 Vol.
Jared Moskowitz
67%
Oliver Adams Larkin
34%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a trader consensus edge at 66.5% in the FL-23 Democratic primary due to his strong fundraising—ending 2025 with over $1 million cash on hand—and established support among mainstream Democrats in the closed primary system, set for August 18. Challenger Oliver Adams Larkin has climbed to 33.5% on momentum from the Democratic Socialists of America's first federal endorsement of 2026, announced around April 1, alongside local chapter backing and a March 10 Center for Strategic Politics poll showing Larkin leading 49-36 after balanced bios amid voter opposition to continued military aid to Israel. Upcoming Q1 FEC reports could shift dynamics further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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