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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$935,785,086 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$935,785,086 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,504,505 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,119,994 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,835,937 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,660,734 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,468,818 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,869,563 Vol.

4%

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Andy Beshear

$6,106,351 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,820,870 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$3,570,957 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,662,827 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,964,168 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,553,314 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,484,149 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,211,130 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,153,738 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,383,434 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,230,754 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,132,234 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,146,792 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,793,997 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,671,271 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,693,335 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,911,472 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,256,634 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,057,393 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,981,394 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,364,047 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,395,530 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,651,840 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,175,941 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,837,692 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,524,721 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,180,918 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,357,603 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,303,772 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,651,175 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,456,994 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,978,027 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,391,890 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,400,404 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,356,221 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,452,793 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,649,646 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,413,718 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24% implied probability, buoyed by his executive experience, national fundraising strength, and high-profile clashes with Trump administration policies following the 2024 election loss. Recent polls show a fragmented field, with a late March JL Partners survey giving former Vice President Kamala Harris a narrow 22%-19% edge over Newsom nationally, while New Hampshire sampling favors Pete Buttigieg at 20%; markets diverge, weighting Newsom's visibility higher amid party recalibration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive appeal and youth, Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff at 6% leverages swing-state incumbency, but no contender exceeds 25% in this wide-open primary. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, early Iowa caucus polling, and donor commitments before the 2028 convention.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24% implied probability, buoyed by his executive experience, national fundraising strength, and high-profile clashes with Trump administration policies following the 2024 election loss. Recent polls show a fragmented field, with a late March JL Partners survey giving former Vice President Kamala Harris a narrow 22%-19% edge over Newsom nationally, while New Hampshire sampling favors Pete Buttigieg at 20%; markets diverge, weighting Newsom's visibility higher amid party recalibration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive appeal and youth, Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff at 6% leverages swing-state incumbency, but no contender exceeds 25% in this wide-open primary. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, early Iowa caucus polling, and donor commitments before the 2028 convention.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24% implied probability, buoyed by his executive experience, national fundraising strength, and high-profile clashes with Trump administration policies following the 2024 election loss. Recent polls show a fragmented field, with a late March JL Partners survey giving former Vice President Kamala Harris a narrow 22%-19% edge over Newsom nationally, while New Hampshire sampling favors Pete Buttigieg at 20%; markets diverge, weighting Newsom's visibility higher amid party recalibration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive appeal and youth, Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff at 6% leverages swing-state incumbency, but no contender exceeds 25% in this wide-open primary. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, early Iowa caucus polling, and donor commitments before the 2028 convention.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom as the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination at 24% implied probability, buoyed by his executive experience, national fundraising strength, and high-profile clashes with Trump administration policies following the 2024 election loss. Recent polls show a fragmented field, with a late March JL Partners survey giving former Vice President Kamala Harris a narrow 22%-19% edge over Newsom nationally, while New Hampshire sampling favors Pete Buttigieg at 20%; markets diverge, weighting Newsom's visibility higher amid party recalibration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on progressive appeal and youth, Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff at 6% leverages swing-state incumbency, but no contender exceeds 25% in this wide-open primary. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm outcomes, early Iowa caucus polling, and donor commitments before the 2028 convention.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" has generated $935.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.