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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.4%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$954,937,538 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.1%

Jon Ossoff 5.4%

Kamala Harris 4.5%

Polymarket

$954,937,538 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$17,245,310 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,426,262 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$6,191,192 Vol.

5%

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Kamala Harris

$8,860,955 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$6,006,682 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,621,885 Vol.

4%

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Andy Beshear

$6,567,592 Vol.

3%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,176,341 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$4,630,978 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$10,712,192 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,525,958 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,769,880 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,315,193 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,713,351 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,672,095 Vol.

2%

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Michelle Obama

$21,952,693 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,021,278 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,382,892 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,470,456 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,231,983 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,102,099 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,944,539 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,863,768 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,198,551 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,753,732 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,466,865 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,320,344 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,526,111 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$33,423,457 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,875,422 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,844,436 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,499,293 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,758,953 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,674,767 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$25,537,703 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,252,217 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,800,850 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$33,380,264 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,682,900 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,689,737 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,699,610 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$39,381,918 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,062,407 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,716,072 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands 24% trader consensus as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him dominating Kamala Harris in a home-state primary matchup and his recent book tour in early primary states like New Hampshire. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, buoyed by progressive energy and high-profile appearances such as the Munich Security Conference, while Jon Ossoff's 5% reflects his rising Senate profile. This wide-open field, fragmented post-2024, hinges on differentiators like national fundraising, swing-state polling, and appeal to key demographics; support could consolidate around 2026 midterm performers, explicit campaign launches, or endorsements from party leaders ahead of primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$954,937,538
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands 24% trader consensus as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him dominating Kamala Harris in a home-state primary matchup and his recent book tour in early primary states like New Hampshire. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, buoyed by progressive energy and high-profile appearances such as the Munich Security Conference, while Jon Ossoff's 5% reflects his rising Senate profile. This wide-open field, fragmented post-2024, hinges on differentiators like national fundraising, swing-state polling, and appeal to key demographics; support could consolidate around 2026 midterm performers, explicit campaign launches, or endorsements from party leaders ahead of primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$954,937,538
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" has generated $954.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.