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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Market icon
Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.6%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$962,545,415 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.6%

Jon Ossoff 5.7%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$962,545,415 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$17,936,601 Vol.

25%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,610,386 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$6,635,237 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$9,015,629 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,675,221 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$6,087,485 Vol.

4%

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Andy Beshear

$6,979,139 Vol.

3%

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James Talarico

$5,150,638 Vol.

3%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,741,218 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$11,064,846 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,812,560 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$5,253,526 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,339,656 Vol.

1%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,731,304 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$13,712,163 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,992,656 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,220,578 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,608,579 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,503,655 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,131,695 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,967,326 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,091,407 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,254,112 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,219,611 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,791,491 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,493,252 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,358,657 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,568,999 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$33,460,919 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,908,575 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,716,713 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,869,518 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,530,843 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$38,002,152 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,739,694 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$25,648,079 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,368,487 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,872,403 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$33,494,567 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,855,283 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,828,223 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$23,330,200 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$39,576,200 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,443,831 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives California Governor Gavin Newsom a leading 25% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting recent California primary polls from March 2026 where he trounced Kamala Harris by wide margins and surged in home-state favorability amid national speculation. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% benefits from her progressive appeal and expanded party role, including Munich Security Conference appearances, while Jon Ossoff's 6% stems from a viral anti-Trump Senate speech in February sparking presidential buzz. Harris lags at 4% post-2024 defeat. In this wide-open field post-midterms, key differentiators include executive experience for governors like Newsom, fresh-faced oratory for senators like Ossoff, and base mobilization for progressives like AOC; consolidation could follow 2026 midterm results, fundraising tallies, and early-state endorsements elevating swing-state performers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$962,545,415
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives California Governor Gavin Newsom a leading 25% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting recent California primary polls from March 2026 where he trounced Kamala Harris by wide margins and surged in home-state favorability amid national speculation. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% benefits from her progressive appeal and expanded party role, including Munich Security Conference appearances, while Jon Ossoff's 6% stems from a viral anti-Trump Senate speech in February sparking presidential buzz. Harris lags at 4% post-2024 defeat. In this wide-open field post-midterms, key differentiators include executive experience for governors like Newsom, fresh-faced oratory for senators like Ossoff, and base mobilization for progressives like AOC; consolidation could follow 2026 midterm results, fundraising tallies, and early-state endorsements elevating swing-state performers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$962,545,415
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" has generated $962.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.