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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Jon Ossoff 5.4%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$948,018,482 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Jon Ossoff 5.4%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$948,018,482 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$17,033,920 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,248,478 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,954,246 Vol.

5%

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Kamala Harris

$8,794,180 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,985,193 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,583,942 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$4,236,335 Vol.

3%

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Andy Beshear

$6,481,879 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,822,298 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$10,320,740 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,263,929 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,655,000 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,654,714 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,435,654 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,302,592 Vol.

2%

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Michelle Obama

$21,704,595 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,971,848 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,363,994 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,466,495 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,224,108 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,922,866 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,847,313 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,084,056 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,141,528 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,712,217 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,444,897 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,467,641 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,925,821 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,618,012 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,773,666 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,366,802 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,905,838 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,557,119 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,992,174 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,700,871 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,750,564 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$33,067,412 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,605,302 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,609,020 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,599,766 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,672,700 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,775,797 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$39,129,590 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,850,041 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, buoyed by recent UC Berkeley polling among California Democrats showing him at 28% versus Kamala Harris's 9%, alongside his national visibility from past Trump criticisms and term-limited status enabling a full-throated campaign. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails with progressive appeal and strong youth support in New Hampshire's Emerson poll (12%), while Jon Ossoff benefits from his Georgia swing-state victory and bipartisan image. The wide-open field post-2024 reflects fragmented early national surveys like Noble Predictive Insights, where Harris edged Newsom among Democrats. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm performances in battlegrounds, fundraising dominance, and clarity on party priorities amid Trump administration policies, with no dominant frontrunner yet emerging.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$948,018,482
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus as the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, buoyed by recent UC Berkeley polling among California Democrats showing him at 28% versus Kamala Harris's 9%, alongside his national visibility from past Trump criticisms and term-limited status enabling a full-throated campaign. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails with progressive appeal and strong youth support in New Hampshire's Emerson poll (12%), while Jon Ossoff benefits from his Georgia swing-state victory and bipartisan image. The wide-open field post-2024 reflects fragmented early national surveys like Noble Predictive Insights, where Harris edged Newsom among Democrats. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm performances in battlegrounds, fundraising dominance, and clarity on party priorities amid Trump administration policies, with no dominant frontrunner yet emerging.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$948,018,482
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" has generated $948 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.