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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

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Eleições·Eleições Mundiais

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.6%

Jon Ossoff 5.8%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$961,389,598 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.6%

Jon Ossoff 5.8%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$961,389,598 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$17,858,275 Vol.

25%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,584,961 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$6,561,583 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$9,015,180 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$6,053,389 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,673,117 Vol.

4%

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Andy Beshear

$6,924,498 Vol.

3%

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James Talarico

$5,109,755 Vol.

3%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,690,633 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$11,025,943 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,805,113 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$5,215,759 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,332,127 Vol.

1%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,731,304 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$13,709,349 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,986,300 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,213,306 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,595,773 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,495,297 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,956,419 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,085,424 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,254,112 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,126,209 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,217,535 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,784,612 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,492,014 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,355,321 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,565,453 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$33,458,149 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,901,965 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,709,344 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,867,106 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,530,059 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,906,428 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,719,262 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$25,575,652 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,363,809 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,839,377 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$33,435,647 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,793,921 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,768,955 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$23,291,964 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$39,478,069 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,355,552 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.8% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his national profile from a recent New Hampshire book tour sparking early primary speculation and consistent anti-Trump messaging amid the president's second term. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 7.6% after a nearly 40% surge in odds, reflecting progressive demands for fresh leadership post-2024 defeat. Jon Ossoff at 5.9% benefits from swing-state Senate incumbency, while Kamala Harris lags at 4.2% despite leading some hypothetical polls, as markets discount her 2024 baggage. This wide-open field hinges on 2026 midterm results for governors like Andy Beshear and Gretchen Whitmer, fundraising edges, and early-state polling to consolidate support.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$961,389,598
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.8% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his national profile from a recent New Hampshire book tour sparking early primary speculation and consistent anti-Trump messaging amid the president's second term. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 7.6% after a nearly 40% surge in odds, reflecting progressive demands for fresh leadership post-2024 defeat. Jon Ossoff at 5.9% benefits from swing-state Senate incumbency, while Kamala Harris lags at 4.2% despite leading some hypothetical polls, as markets discount her 2024 baggage. This wide-open field hinges on 2026 midterm results for governors like Andy Beshear and Gretchen Whitmer, fundraising edges, and early-state polling to consolidate support.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$961,389,598
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" has generated $961.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.