Trader consensus heavily favors former U.S. Rep. David Jolly at 77% to win the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 18, driven by his consistent polling leads over Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (17.8%) and a fragmented field of state legislators like Fentrice Driskell (1.7%) and others. Jolly's momentum stems from a January poll showing him ahead of Demings among Democrats, bolstered by recent endorsements including newly elected Rep. Emily Gregory two days ago after her special election flip of a Republican House seat. His active campaigning, including a passionate Tampa address today defending liberalism, highlights crossover appeal from his Republican background amid Florida's rightward shift. Demings trails despite a new campaign manager hire yesterday and Central Florida base, while low-name-recognition challengers lag. Upcoming debates and voter turnout in this open primary could shift dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoDavid Jolly 79%
Jerry Demings 16.3%
Fentrice Driskell 1.7%
Daniella Levine Cava 1.1%
$11,488 Vol.
$11,488 Vol.
David Jolly
79%
Jerry Demings
16%
Fentrice Driskell
2%
Daniella Levine Cava
1%
Shevrin Jones
<1%
Jason Pizzo
<1%
Gwen Graham
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
David Jolly 79%
Jerry Demings 16.3%
Fentrice Driskell 1.7%
Daniella Levine Cava 1.1%
$11,488 Vol.
$11,488 Vol.
David Jolly
79%
Jerry Demings
16%
Fentrice Driskell
2%
Daniella Levine Cava
1%
Shevrin Jones
<1%
Jason Pizzo
<1%
Gwen Graham
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors former U.S. Rep. David Jolly at 77% to win the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 18, driven by his consistent polling leads over Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings (17.8%) and a fragmented field of state legislators like Fentrice Driskell (1.7%) and others. Jolly's momentum stems from a January poll showing him ahead of Demings among Democrats, bolstered by recent endorsements including newly elected Rep. Emily Gregory two days ago after her special election flip of a Republican House seat. His active campaigning, including a passionate Tampa address today defending liberalism, highlights crossover appeal from his Republican background amid Florida's rightward shift. Demings trails despite a new campaign manager hire yesterday and Central Florida base, while low-name-recognition challengers lag. Upcoming debates and voter turnout in this open primary could shift dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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