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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Connecticut

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Connecticut

NOVO
Polymarket
NOVO

Ned Lamont

$9,635 Vol.

92%

Josh Elliott

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Ned Lamont commands 92% trader consensus in the Connecticut Democratic gubernatorial primary due to his entrenched incumbency advantage, solid approval ratings around 60%, and dominant polling leads, including a February survey showing him at 57% over challenger State Rep. Josh Elliott's 13% among likely primary voters. Lamont's fundraising superiority and lack of serious rivals have solidified his position since announcing his third-term bid last fall, with no major developments in the past month altering the trajectory ahead of the August 11 primary. While Elliott's progressive profile appeals to a niche base, traders see scant path for an upset barring a Lamont scandal, health issue, or abrupt withdrawal.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$9,635
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Ned Lamont commands 92% trader consensus in the Connecticut Democratic gubernatorial primary due to his entrenched incumbency advantage, solid approval ratings around 60%, and dominant polling leads, including a February survey showing him at 57% over challenger State Rep. Josh Elliott's 13% among likely primary voters. Lamont's fundraising superiority and lack of serious rivals have solidified his position since announcing his third-term bid last fall, with no major developments in the past month altering the trajectory ahead of the August 11 primary. While Elliott's progressive profile appeals to a niche base, traders see scant path for an upset barring a Lamont scandal, health issue, or abrupt withdrawal.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$9,635
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Connecticut" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ned Lamont" at 92%, followed by "Josh Elliott" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Connecticut" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Connecticut," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Connecticut" is "Ned Lamont" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Josh Elliott" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de Connecticut" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.