Trader consensus in the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary heavily favors Victor Marx at 62.5% implied probability, driven by his recent surge in grassroots fundraising and endorsements from key conservative influencers over the past week, bolstering his path-to-victory in the June 2026 primary. Barbara Kirkmeyer holds steady at 28%, leveraging her state Senate experience and strong rural support base, while Daniel Thomas (16.2%) and Greg Lopez (16.1%) draw from name recognition in congressional races but trail amid limited statewide polling. Absent major debates or new polls in the last 30 days, odds reflect early campaign momentum and donor commitments, with the crowded field of 15 candidates splitting anti-establishment votes; upcoming filing deadlines and first polls could shift dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVictor Marx 62%
Barbara Kirkmeyer 29%
Greg Lopez 11.9%
Bob Brinkerhoff 3.4%
Victor Marx
62%
Barbara Kirkmeyer
29%
Greg Lopez
12%
Bob Brinkerhoff
3%
Brycen Garrison
3%
Jon Gray-Ginsberg
3%
Scott Bottoms
2%
Joshua Griffin
2%
Mark Baisley
1%
Will McBride
1%
Robert Moore
1%
Daniel Thomas
13%
Jason Clark
1%
Jason Mikesell
<1%
Stevan Gess
<1%
Victor Marx 62%
Barbara Kirkmeyer 29%
Greg Lopez 11.9%
Bob Brinkerhoff 3.4%
Victor Marx
62%
Barbara Kirkmeyer
29%
Greg Lopez
12%
Bob Brinkerhoff
3%
Brycen Garrison
3%
Jon Gray-Ginsberg
3%
Scott Bottoms
2%
Joshua Griffin
2%
Mark Baisley
1%
Will McBride
1%
Robert Moore
1%
Daniel Thomas
13%
Jason Clark
1%
Jason Mikesell
<1%
Stevan Gess
<1%
If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary heavily favors Victor Marx at 62.5% implied probability, driven by his recent surge in grassroots fundraising and endorsements from key conservative influencers over the past week, bolstering his path-to-victory in the June 2026 primary. Barbara Kirkmeyer holds steady at 28%, leveraging her state Senate experience and strong rural support base, while Daniel Thomas (16.2%) and Greg Lopez (16.1%) draw from name recognition in congressional races but trail amid limited statewide polling. Absent major debates or new polls in the last 30 days, odds reflect early campaign momentum and donor commitments, with the crowded field of 15 candidates splitting anti-establishment votes; upcoming filing deadlines and first polls could shift dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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