Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama

Name: Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama
Start: 2025-12-04T22:41:50.363Z
End: 2026-05-19T00:00:00.000Z

Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama

Doug Jones 90%

Will Boyd 6.0%

Yolanda Flowers 2.1%

Ja’Mel Brown 1.7%

NEW

May 19, 2026

Doug Jones

$0 Vol.

90%

Will Boyd

$0 Vol.

Yolanda Flowers

$8,333 Vol.

Ja’Mel Brown

$0 Vol.

Chad Chig Martin

$0 Vol.

<1%

Doug Jones 90%

Will Boyd 6.0%

Yolanda Flowers 2.1%

Ja’Mel Brown 1.7%

NEW

May 19, 2026

Doug Jones

$0 Vol.

90%

Will Boyd

$0 Vol.

Yolanda Flowers

$8,333 Vol.

Ja’Mel Brown

$0 Vol.

Chad Chig Martin

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Alabama, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Alabama Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Former U.S. Senator Doug Jones dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win Alabama's Democratic gubernatorial primary, propelled by his November 2024 campaign announcement highlighting his statewide victories in the 2017 special election and competitive 2020 Senate race. This recent entry has solidified his frontrunner status through superior name recognition, fundraising potential, and appeal to moderate voters in Republican-leaning Alabama, dwarfing challengers like attorney Will Boyd (6%), 2022 nominee Yolanda Flowers (2.1%), Ja'Mel Brown (1.8%), and Chad Chig Martin (0.3%). Absent early polls, markets reflect Jones' early momentum ahead of the March 3, 2026, primary, though new entrants, endorsements, or fundraising disclosures could shift dynamics.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 26, 2026, 11:32 AM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Doug Jones" at 90%, followed by "Will Boyd" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 4, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama" is "Doug Jones" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Will Boyd" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 90¢ for "Doug Jones" in the "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 90% chance that "Doug Jones" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 90¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 10¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 19, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Alabama

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Contexto de Mercado

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Frequently Asked Questions

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