Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly on 115-125 million votes, implying 46-50% of the projected 250 million voting-eligible population, buoyed by robust early primary participation in battleground states like Texas and North Carolina where Democrats outpaced Republicans and record Latino engagement emerged in March. This echoes 2018's high 114 million benchmark and exceeds 2022's 108 million, driven by competitive generic ballots, heavy super PAC investments—including $44 million from Progressive Turnout Project and $50 million from Trump-Vance allies—and ongoing registration drives. Uncertainty persists over national mood, economic pressures, and mobilization in swing states, with summer primaries and absentee ballot trends poised to tip probabilities toward higher or lower bands.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado115-120 milhões 19%
120-125 milhões 18%
110-115 milhões 13%
<85 milhões 9.7%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<85 milhões
10%
85-90 milhões
8%
90-95 milhões
5%
95-100 milhões
7%
100-105 milhões
6%
105-110 milhões
10%
110-115 milhões
13%
115-120 milhões
19%
120-125 milhões
18%
125-130 milhões
9%
130 milhões+
5%
115-120 milhões 19%
120-125 milhões 18%
110-115 milhões 13%
<85 milhões 9.7%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<85 milhões
$257 Vol.
10%
85-90 milhões
$357 Vol.
8%
90-95 milhões
$739 Vol.
5%
95-100 milhões
$196 Vol.
7%
100-105 milhões
$436 Vol.
6%
105-110 milhões
$208 Vol.
10%
110-115 milhões
$173 Vol.
13%
115-120 milhões
$166 Vol.
19%
120-125 milhões
$196 Vol.
18%
125-130 milhões
$166 Vol.
9%
130 milhões+
$177 Vol.
5%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly on 115-125 million votes, implying 46-50% of the projected 250 million voting-eligible population, buoyed by robust early primary participation in battleground states like Texas and North Carolina where Democrats outpaced Republicans and record Latino engagement emerged in March. This echoes 2018's high 114 million benchmark and exceeds 2022's 108 million, driven by competitive generic ballots, heavy super PAC investments—including $44 million from Progressive Turnout Project and $50 million from Trump-Vance allies—and ongoing registration drives. Uncertainty persists over national mood, economic pressures, and mobilization in swing states, with summer primaries and absentee ballot trends poised to tip probabilities toward higher or lower bands.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$3,071Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly on 115-125 million votes, implying 46-50% of the projected 250 million voting-eligible population, buoyed by robust early primary participation in battleground states like Texas and North Carolina where Democrats outpaced Republicans and record Latino engagement emerged in March. This echoes 2018's high 114 million benchmark and exceeds 2022's 108 million, driven by competitive generic ballots, heavy super PAC investments—including $44 million from Progressive Turnout Project and $50 million from Trump-Vance allies—and ongoing registration drives. Uncertainty persists over national mood, economic pressures, and mobilization in swing states, with summer primaries and absentee ballot trends poised to tip probabilities toward higher or lower bands.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$3,071Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly on 115-125 million votes, implying 46-50% of the projected 250 million voting-eligible population, buoyed by robust early primary participation in battleground states like Texas and North Carolina where Democrats outpaced Republicans and record Latino engagement emerged in March. This echoes 2018's high 114 million benchmark and exceeds 2022's 108 million, driven by competitive generic ballots, heavy super PAC investments—including $44 million from Progressive Turnout Project and $50 million from Trump-Vance allies—and ongoing registration drives. Uncertainty persists over national mood, economic pressures, and mobilization in swing states, with summer primaries and absentee ballot trends poised to tip probabilities toward higher or lower bands.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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