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Republican Party predictions & odds

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Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

16%

$11.2K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

23%

$2.6K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

59%

Ken Paxton

$15M Vol.

$354K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

IA-02 Republican Primary Winner

IA-02 Republican Primary Winner

95%

Joe Mitchell

$21.7K Vol.

$36.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

MN-02 Republican Primary Winner

MN-02 Republican Primary Winner

85%

Eric Pratt

$14.3K Vol.

$41.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

69%

Thomas Massie

$257K Vol.

$75.8K Liq.

32

Ends in about 1 month

Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner

Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner

65%

Rick Jackson

$394K Vol.

$176K Liq.

11

Ends in about 1 month

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

72%

Julia Letlow

$198K Vol.

$160K Liq.

3

Ends in 30 days

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

82%

Byron Donalds

$1M Vol.

$182K Liq.

46

Ends in 4 months

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

56%

Randy Fine

$18.4K Vol.

$63.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

81%

Lindsey Graham

$99.7K Vol.

$62.3K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

63%

Victor Marx

$87.6K Vol.

$122K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Iowa Governor Republican Primary Winner

Iowa Governor Republican Primary Winner

72%

Randy Feenstra

$15.3K Vol.

$48.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

88%

Mike Collins

$523K Vol.

$112K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner

Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner

47%

Ty Masterson

$34.2K Vol.

$55.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

79%

Barry Moore

$54.0K Vol.

$50.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

50%

Bert Mizusawa

$2M Vol.

$92.8K Liq.

6

Ends in 2 months

Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner

Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner

89%

Raymond McKay

$12.4K Vol.

$40.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner

Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner

71%

Andy Barr

$103K Vol.

$58.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner

Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner

88%

Tom Tiffany

$81.2K Vol.

$73.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Republican Party.

Polymarket currently hosts 1211 active markets for Republican Party that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $21.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 59% chance to Ken Paxton. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Republican Party predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.