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Republican Party predictions & odds

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Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

15%

$12.2K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

19%

$4.8K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

77%

Thomas Massie

$670K Vol.

$147K today

$105K Liq.

40

Ends in 12 days

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

62%

Ken Paxton

$16M Vol.

$169K Liq.

1

Ends in 19 days

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner

Vivek Ramaswamy

$1M Vol.

11

Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

100%

Ramaswamy 60-70%

$52.7K Vol.

$52.7K today

$19.1K Liq.

1

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

Derek Merrin

$46.0K Vol.

2

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

86%

Byron Donalds

$1M Vol.

$164K Liq.

47

Ends in 3 months

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

Jim Baird

$10.1K Vol.

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

56%

Julia Letlow

$253K Vol.

$163K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 days

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

46%

Bert Mizusawa

$2M Vol.

$82.0K Liq.

6

Ends in about 1 month

Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner

Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner

99%

Ashley Hinson

$18.1K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

64%

Lisa Demuth

$383K Vol.

$81.3K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

75%

Randy Fine

$64.9K Vol.

$68.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

77%

Barry Moore

$70.1K Vol.

$68.6K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

88%

Mike Collins

$592K Vol.

$105K Liq.

1

Ends in 12 days

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner

44%

Genter Drummond

$258K Vol.

$83.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

87%

Lindsey Graham

$119K Vol.

$54.3K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

66%

Mark Smith

$11.6K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

64%

Greg Hull

$823K Vol.

$90.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 26 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Republican Party.

Polymarket currently hosts 1220 active markets for Republican Party that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $24.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 62% chance to Ken Paxton. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Republican Party predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.