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Republican Party predictions & odds

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Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

16%

$4.8K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

82%

Democratic Party

$8M Vol.

$648K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

56%

Republican Party

$3M Vol.

$368K Liq.

74

Ends in 5 months

IN-06 House Election Winner

IN-06 House Election Winner

95%

Republican Party

$15.1K Vol.

$55.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

CA-32 House Election Winner

CA-32 House Election Winner

95%

Democratic Party

$18.2K Vol.

$55.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

NJ-11 House Election Winner

NJ-11 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$20.9K Vol.

$52.6K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

LA-03 House Election Winner

LA-03 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$17.1K Vol.

$56.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

FL-08 House Election Winner

FL-08 House Election Winner

89%

Republican Party

$15.5K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

KY-04 House Election Winner

KY-04 House Election Winner

93%

Republican Party

$31.9K Vol.

$56.4K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

AL-04 House Election Winner

AL-04 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$30.2K Vol.

$51.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

TX-06 House Election Winner

TX-06 House Election Winner

90%

Republican Party

$9.5K Vol.

$34.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

TX-04 House Election Winner

TX-04 House Election Winner

88%

Republican Party

$6.5K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

29%

Below 190

$255K Vol.

$128K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

$3M Vol.

$384K Liq.

7

GA-10 House Election Winner

GA-10 House Election Winner

90%

Republican Party

$7.9K Vol.

$34.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

TN-05 House Election Winner

TN-05 House Election Winner

71%

Republican Party

$32.1K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

CA-12 House Election Winner

CA-12 House Election Winner

95%

Democratic Party

$42.4K Vol.

$37.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

AZ-05 House Election Winner

AZ-05 House Election Winner

86%

Republican Party

$13.9K Vol.

$27.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

23%

Democrats 8-10%

$86.4K Vol.

$391K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

TX-03 House Election Winner

TX-03 House Election Winner

89%

Republican Party

$15.6K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Republican Party.

Polymarket currently hosts 571 active markets for Republican Party that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $13.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 82% chance to Democratic Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Republican Party predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.