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Planes predictions & odds

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Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

5%

$21.1K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

91%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$476K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

33

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

10

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

94%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$30.4K Liq.

46

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

34%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$691 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

51%

June 30

$13M Vol.

$504K today

$229K Liq.

676

Ends in 18 days

Number of TSA passengers May 11 - May 17?

Number of TSA passengers May 11 - May 17?

51%

17.5-18m

$386 Vol.

$499 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

19%

↑ $3

$638K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

61%

June 30

$733K Vol.

$32.9K Liq.

28

Ends in 18 days

Number of TSA passengers January 2?

Number of TSA passengers January 2?

2.5-2.75m

$15.5K Vol.

$0 Liq.

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

61%

↓ $580

$32.7K Vol.

$73.0K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 12?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 12?

100%

$710

$57.8K Vol.

$57.4K today

$66.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 13?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 13?

99%

$710

$296 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

2%

$198K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

61%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Ethereum above ___ on May 12, 3PM ET?

Ethereum above ___ on May 12, 3PM ET?

99%

2,350

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?

2%

$118K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

7%

$10.9K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

70%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Planes.

Polymarket currently hosts 159 active markets for Planes that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran closes its airspace by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran closes its airspace by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 51% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Planes predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.