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Moon Landing predictions & odds

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Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

3%

$2M Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

30

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

51

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

83%

50

$18.3K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

73%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

33

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

May 31

$145K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

10

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

8%

$801K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

41

Ends in 8 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

99%

$715

$1.9K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Trump goes to space in 2026?

Trump goes to space in 2026?

2%

$3.7K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in May 2026?

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in May 2026?

77%

↓ 116

$53.9K Vol.

$53.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of May 18 2026?

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of May 18 2026?

73%

↑ $124

$0 Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

74%

↑ $304

$125K Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

44%

Wall Street

$55 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

84%

China

$2.0K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

40%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

56%

↓ 75,000

$18M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends in 15 days

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

67%

↓ 500

$110K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

75%

↓ $4,500

$486K Vol.

$156K Liq.

3

Ends in 15 days

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

33%

↓ $580

$51.6K Vol.

$28.1K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Moon Landing.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Moon Landing that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Human moon landing in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Moon Landing predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.