Lockdown predictions & odds

Tech·Valve

Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?

$16.3K Vol.

$236 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

78%

$16.3K Vol.

$236 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·Bill Gates

Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?

$2.8K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$2.8K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Congress

Government shutdown by October 1?

$15.2K Vol.

$34.9K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

$15.2K Vol.

$34.9K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Tech·AI

Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

$3.3K Vol.

$748 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$3.3K Vol.

$748 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Minnesota Unrest

Tim Walz in jail by...?

$52.6K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

December 31, 2026

$52.6K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Politics·Viktor Orban

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

$35.3K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$35.3K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

$72.9K Vol.

$192 Liq.

89%

December 31

$72.9K Vol.

$192 Liq.

Geopolitics·China

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

$346K Vol.

$55.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$346K Vol.

$55.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·South Korea

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

$541K Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$541K Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

Cassis (Doubles): Lock/Lock vs Roche/Tailleu

$0 Vol.

$344 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

50%

Lock/Lock

$0 Vol.

$344 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Earnings·Business

Ben Pasternak jailed?

$50.7K Vol.

$482 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$50.7K Vol.

$482 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·Mexico

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

$30.6K Vol.

$201 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

39%

December 31

$30.6K Vol.

$201 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·Hong Kong

Jimmy Lai released by...?

$380K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31, 2026

$380K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Court Cases

Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?

$4.3K Vol.

$740 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$4.3K Vol.

$740 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Arrest

Evo Morales arrested by...?

$42.1K Vol.

$615 Liq.

Ends in 24 days

September 30

$42.1K Vol.

$615 Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Politics·Epstein

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

$340K Vol.

$26.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$340K Vol.

$26.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Prison

Alcatraz reopened in 2026?

$1.4K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$1.4K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·Clavicular

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

$74.6K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

$74.6K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Netanyahu arrested by…?

$25.4K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$25.4K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Golf

Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?

$73.6K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

26%

$73.6K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Lockdown.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Lockdown that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Jimmy Lai released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Lockdown predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Lockdown shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Jimmy Lai released by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Lockdown prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Lockdown prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Lockdown predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Lockdown prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Lockdown markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Lockdown prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Lockdown predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Lockdown odds?

Can I track Lockdown predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Lockdown markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Lockdown prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Lockdown markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Lockdown prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Lockdown predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Lockdown odds?

Can I track Lockdown predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Lockdown markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Lockdown predictions & odds