KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

3%

$30.7K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by...?

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by...?

15%

April 30

$348K Vol.

$30.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

10%

$0 Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

94%

UAE

$3M Vol.

$261K today

$180K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

75%

Bolivia

$1M Vol.

$214K today

$132K Liq.

50

Ends in 16 days

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

53%

Pakistan

$236K Vol.

$92.6K today

$173K Liq.

12

Ends in 3 months

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

100%

Israel

$30.9K Vol.

$183K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

10%

Saudi Arabia

$83.8K Vol.

$43.8K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 months

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?

22%

April 10

$63.1K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

19%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$356K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

58

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

45%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

107

Ends in 3 months

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

92%

March 24

$34.8K Vol.

$49.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

75%

Not revealed in 2026

$0 Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?

US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?

2%

$466K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

39

Ends in about 1 month

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

94%

50

$5.4K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

29%

7

$677K Vol.

$76.9K Liq.

34

Ends in 9 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

63%

$1M Vol.

$106K today

$194K Liq.

23

Ends in 9 months

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

62%

↑ 14,000

$12.8K Vol.

$59.3K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

32%

April 30

$174K Vol.

$71.1K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Iraq.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Iraq that lets you track or trade on predictions like “KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran military action against ___ by March 31?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran military action against ___ by March 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Israel. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Iraq predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.