Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

10%

$47.8K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 26 days

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Anthropic CEO arrested?

2%

$142K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navone

Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navone

59%

Alex Molcan

$214K Vol.

$214K today

$166K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic

Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic

100%

Daniel Altmaier

$2M Vol.

$2M today

$928K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Fortaleza CEIF vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro

Fortaleza CEIF vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro

54%

Fortaleza CEIF

$2.4K Vol.

$318 Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

57%

FURIA

$0 Vol.

$355 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Mirassol FC vs. CA Lanús

Mirassol FC vs. CA Lanús

46%

Mirassol FC

$112 Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Athletic Club

Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Athletic Club

50%

Draw (Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Athletic Club)

$0 Vol.

$79 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Audax CS Italiano vs. Club Olimpia

Audax CS Italiano vs. Club Olimpia

34%

Draw (Audax CS Italiano vs. Club Olimpia)

$8 Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

EC Bahia vs. Clube do Remo

EC Bahia vs. Clube do Remo

50%

EC Bahia

$0 Vol.

$409 Liq.

Ends in 19 days

FC Botoşani vs. FC Metaloglobus București

FC Botoşani vs. FC Metaloglobus București

50%

FC Botoşani

$0 Vol.

$18 Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

95%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$2.6K Vol.

$60.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Mirassol FC vs. Club Always Ready

Mirassol FC vs. Club Always Ready

50%

Draw (Mirassol FC vs. Club Always Ready)

$0 Vol.

$15 Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Sao Leopoldo: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Gustavo Heide

Sao Leopoldo: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Gustavo Heide

83%

Gustavo Heide

$4.8K Vol.

$113K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready

CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready

52%

Draw (CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready)

$0 Vol.

$60 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Gamba Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama

Gamba Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama

50%

Fagiano Okayama

$0 Vol.

$103 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

87%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$3.3K Vol.

$69.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

FC Argeș Pitești vs. Dinamo 1948

FC Argeș Pitești vs. Dinamo 1948

40%

Dinamo 1948

$6 Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

56%

MOUZ

$0 Vol.

$392 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Bucharest Open: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Bucharest Open: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

60%

Titouan Droguet

$4.3K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Dario Amodei.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Dario Amodei that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navone”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On),” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Daniel Altmaier. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Dario Amodei predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.