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2024 Iowa Caucus predictions & odds

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Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner

98%

Rob Sand

$376K Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Iowa Governor Republican Primary Winner

Iowa Governor Republican Primary Winner

71%

Randy Feenstra

$23.5K Vol.

$39.3K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

99%

Connecticut

$279K Vol.

$30.4K Liq.

14

Ends in 8 months

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Iowa Senate Election Winner

62%

Republican

$116K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Iowa Governor Election Winner

67%

Democrat

$36.1K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

IA-04 House Election Winner

IA-04 House Election Winner

92%

Republican Party

$9.9K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

77%

Josh Turek

$21.8K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

85%

$2.7K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner

Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner

96%

Ashley Hinson

$19.1K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

IA-03 House Election Winner

IA-03 House Election Winner

55%

Democratic Party

$1.8K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

94%

Christina Bohannan

$20.7K Vol.

$37.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

95%

Lindsay James

$9.9K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

CO-04 House Election Winner

CO-04 House Election Winner

66%

Republican Party

$8.0K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

IA-01 House Election Winner

IA-01 House Election Winner

68%

Democratic Party

$1.4K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OR-04 House Election Winner

OR-04 House Election Winner

91%

Democratic Party

$9.2K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

IN-04 House Election Winner

IN-04 House Election Winner

92%

Republican Party

$2.3K Vol.

$26.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

IA-02 House Election Winner

IA-02 House Election Winner

49%

Republican Party

$1.7K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

AR-04 House Election Winner

AR-04 House Election Winner

95%

Republican Party

$14.5K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OK-04 House Election Winner

OK-04 House Election Winner

93%

Republican Party

$20.9K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 2024 Iowa Caucus.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for 2024 Iowa Caucus that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $977K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to Rob Sand. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 2024 Iowa Caucus predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.